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Dynamic linkages among cross-currency swap markets under stress

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  • G. Tamakoshi
  • S. Hamori

Abstract

This article examines the impacts of the European sovereign debt crisis on the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) between three European currencies (EUR, CHF and GBP) and the US dollar for 1-year maturities. We found that the correlation between each pair of the swap prices significantly fluctuated over time and exhibited a higher co-movement during the crisis period, suggesting a higher degree of market integration. Importantly, applying a linear regression framework with a crisis dummy variable to the derived DCC, we find evidence of spillover effects of the sovereign debt turbulence to the cross-currency swap markets, as reflected in the increased co-movement between the EUR/USD and CHF/USD swap prices.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Tamakoshi & S. Hamori, 2013. "Dynamic linkages among cross-currency swap markets under stress," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 404-409, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:404-409
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709591
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    1. Popper, Helen, 1993. "Long-term covered interest parity: evidence from currency swaps," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 439-448, August.
    2. Takezawa, Nobuya, 1995. "Currency swaps and long-term covered interest parity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 181-185, August.
    3. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    4. Baba, Naohiko & Sakurai, Yuji, 2011. "When and how US dollar shortages evolved into the full crisis? Evidence from the cross-currency swap market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1450-1463, June.
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    2. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Evidence on time-varying inflation synchronization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-13.

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