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The weak-form efficiency of Asian stock markets: new evidence from generalized spectral martingale test

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  • Kian-Ping Lim
  • Weiwei Luo

Abstract

The most appropriate approach to test for weak-form market efficiency is to examine whether the stock returns are Martingale Difference Sequence (MDS). However, the MDS tests have been largely ignored by previous studies, as the empirical analysis is dominated by Variance Ratio (VR) tests and Independent and Identically Distributed (IID)-based nonlinearity tests. This article re-examines the weak-form efficiency of 14 Asian stock markets using the generalized spectral martingale test. The result shows that all the return series are not MDSs, indicating the presence of return predictability and hence market inefficiency.

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  • Kian-Ping Lim & Weiwei Luo, 2012. "The weak-form efficiency of Asian stock markets: new evidence from generalized spectral martingale test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(10), pages 905-908, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:905-908
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607123
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    Cited by:

    1. Keith S. K. Lam & Liang Dong & Bo Yu, 2019. "Value Premium and Technical Analysis: Evidence from the China Stock Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-21, September.
    2. Tourani-Rad, Alireza & Gilbert, Aaron & Chen, Jun, 2016. "Are foreign IPOs really foreign? Price efficiency and information asymmetry of Chinese foreign IPOs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 95-106.
    3. Mohanty, Sunil K. & Mishra, Sibanjan, 2020. "Regulatory reform and market efficiency: The case of Indian agricultural commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    4. Todea, Alexandru & Pleşoianu, Anita, 2013. "The influence of foreign portfolio investment on informational efficiency: Empirical evidence from Central and Eastern European stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 34-41.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Taofeek O. Ayinde, 2016. "Testing the Martingale Difference Hypothesis (MDH) with Structural Breaks: Evidence from Foreign Exchanges of Nigeria and South Africa," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 342-359, September.

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