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Why are p-Values Controversial?

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  • Todd A. Kuffner
  • Stephen G. Walker

Abstract

While it is often argued that a p-value is a probability; see Wasserstein and Lazar, we argue that a p-value is not defined as a probability. A p-value is a bijection of the sufficient statistic for a given test which maps to the same scale as the Type I error probability. As such, the use of p-values in a test should be no more a source of controversy than the use of a sufficient statistic. It is demonstrated that there is, in fact, no ambiguity about what a p-value is, contrary to what has been claimed in recent public debates in the applied statistics community. We give a simple example to illustrate that rejecting the use of p-values in testing for a normal mean parameter is conceptually no different from rejecting the use of a sample mean. The p-value is innocent; the problem arises from its misuse and misinterpretation. The way that p-values have been informally defined and interpreted appears to have led to tremendous confusion and controversy regarding their place in statistical analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Todd A. Kuffner & Stephen G. Walker, 2019. "Why are p-Values Controversial?," The American Statistician, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(1), pages 1-3, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:amstat:v:73:y:2019:i:1:p:1-3
    DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2016.1277161
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    Cited by:

    1. Eleni Verykouki & Christos T. Nakas, 2023. "Adaptations on the Use of p -Values for Statistical Inference: An Interpretation of Messages from Recent Public Discussions," Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-13, April.
    2. Ron S. Kenett & Abraham Rubinstein, 2021. "Generalizing research findings for enhanced reproducibility: an approach based on verbal alternative representations," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(5), pages 4137-4151, May.
    3. Cheng, Yuanyuan, 2023. "A method of 3R to evaluate the correlation and predictive value of variables," OSF Preprints c79tu, Center for Open Science.

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