IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sum/sjefsm/2018p22-30.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Empirical Investigation into the Effects of Crude Oil Price on Government Revenue in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Babalola Adedayo Emmanuel*

    (Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State, Nigeria)

  • Akindele Olawale Olamide

    (Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State, Nigeria)

  • Rotimi Olufemi Henry

    (Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, Nigeria)

Abstract

Nigeria’s vulnerability to crude oil price fluctuations is a phenomenon which has become reoccurring effects and there was the need for emphasis on the need to establish the relationship effects of crude oil price on the Nigeria government revenue. This study, therefore, examined the impacts of oil price shock on government revenue in Nigeria, and, also analyzed its trend within the period under study (1983 – 2016). This study employed Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model to examine the short and long-run effects of crude oil price distortions on revenue in Nigeria. The impulse response analysis was carried out, the trend analysis was demonstrated and the time series properties of the data were tested by ADF unit root. The study found that government revenue was characterized with trended swing movements in same directions as the world oil price. The government revenue was negatively and significantly impacted by the world oil price in the first period and second period (-9.59006 and -9.82006 respectively). However both in the short run and long run, government revenue declined as a result of the impact of the world oil price shock. Consequently, the study suggested that the policy makers should focus on policy that will strengthen and stabilize the macroeconomic structure of the Nigerian economy with specific focus on alternative sources of government revenue (reduction of dependence on oil proceeds and diversify) and ensure fiscal discipline in governance.

Suggested Citation

  • Babalola Adedayo Emmanuel* & Akindele Olawale Olamide & Rotimi Olufemi Henry, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation into the Effects of Crude Oil Price on Government Revenue in Nigeria," Sumerianz Journal of Economics and Finance, Sumerianz Publication, vol. 1(1), pages 22-30, 06-2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:sum:sjefsm:2018:p:22-30
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sumerianz.com/pdf-files/sjef1(1)22-30.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.sumerianz.com/?ic=journal-home&info=archive-detail&journal=26&month=06-2018&issue=1&volume=1
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Davood Behbudi & Siab Mamipour & Azhdar Karami, 2010. "Natural Resource Abundance, Human Capital And Economic Growth In The Petroleum Exporting Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 35(3), pages 81-102, September.
    2. Rautava, Jouko, 2004. "The role of oil prices and the real exchange rate in Russia's economy--a cointegration approach," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 315-327, June.
    3. Darby, Michael R, 1982. "The Price of Oil and World Inflation and Recession," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(4), pages 738-751, September.
    4. repec:bla:opecrv:v:34:y:2010:i:1:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Rebeca Jimenez-Rodriguez & Marcelo Sanchez, 2005. "Oil price shocks and real GDP growth: empirical evidence for some OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 201-228.
    6. Mehrara, Mohsen, 2008. "The asymmetric relationship between oil revenues and economic activities: The case of oil-exporting countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1164-1168, March.
    7. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano, 2009. "Oil Price Shocks and the Macroeconomy of Nigeria: A Non-linear Approach," MPRA Paper 18726, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2009.
    8. Fidelis Ogwumike & Eric Ogunleye, 2008. "Resource‐led Development: An Illustrative Example from Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 20(2), pages 200-220.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abubakar, Attahir Babaji & Muhammad, Mansur & Mensah, Samuel, 2023. "Response of fiscal efforts to oil price dynamics," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Obayelu, Abiodun & Ogunmola, Omotoso & Obayelu, Oluwakemi & Adeyemi, Oluwatosin, 2021. "Crude Oil Price Shocks and Food Production Output in Oil Producing and Exporting Countries: The Case Study of Nigeria," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315394, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Charles O. Manasseh & Nnenna G. Nwonye & Felicia C. Abada & Ogochukwu Okanya & Anuli R. Ogbuagu & Felicia U. Eze-Dike & Osmond N. Okonkwo & Otene Samson & Okechukwu J. Akamike & John O. Okoh & Peter O, 2022. "Evaluating Oil Price Movement and Revenue Generation in Nigeria during Covid-19 Pandemic: Experience from Pre and Post Era," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 57-65, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Troug, Haytem & Murray, Matt, 2015. "The Effects of Asymmetric Shocks in Oil Prices on the Performance of the Libyan Economy," MPRA Paper 68705, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Dynamic relationships between oil revenues, government spending and economic growth in an oil-dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 118-125.
    3. Zulfigarov, Farid & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2020. "The impact of oil price changes on selected macroeconomic indicators in Azerbaijan," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    4. Prasad, Arti & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Jashwini, 2007. "Exploring the oil price and real GDP nexus for a small island economy, the Fiji Islands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 6506-6513, December.
    5. Motunrayo O AKINSOLA & NM ODHIAMBO, 2020. "Oil Price And Economic Growth Of Oil-Importing Countries: A Review Of International Literature," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 129-140.
    6. Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri & Pires Manso, José Ramos, 2014. "The linkage between crude oil consumption and economic growth in Latin America: The panel framework investigations for multiple regions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 233-241.
    7. Amiri, Hossein & Sayadi, Mohammad & Mamipour, Siab, 2021. "Oil Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Outcomes; Fresh Evidences from a scenario-based NK-DSGE analysis for oil-exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Abimelech Paye Gbatu & Zhen Wang & Presley K. Wesseh, Jr & Isaac Yak Repha Tutdel, 2017. "Asymmetric and Dynamic Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Evidence from a Panel of Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 1-13.
    9. Gbatu, Abimelech Paye & Wang, Zhen & Wesseh, Presley K. & Tutdel, Isaac Yak Repha, 2017. "The impacts of oil price shocks on small oil-importing economies: Time series evidence for Liberia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 975-990.
    10. Raheem, Ibrahim & Olabisi, Nafisat, 2019. "What is new? The role of asymmetry and breaks in oil price–output growth volatility nexus," MPRA Paper 105361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Nusair, Salah A., 2019. "Oil price and inflation dynamics in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 997-1011.
    12. Hanabusa, Kunihiro, 2012. "The effect of 107th OPEC Ordinary Meeting on oil prices and economic performances in Japan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 1666-1672.
    13. Bunce, Alan & Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of the oil price in the ecuadorian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    14. Schmidt, Torsten & Zimmermann, Tobias, 2007. "Why are the Effects of Recent Oil Price Shocks so Small?," Ruhr Economic Papers 29, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    15. Park, Jungwook & Ratti, Ronald A., 2008. "Oil price shocks and stock markets in the U.S. and 13 European countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2587-2608, September.
    16. Makena Coffman, 2010. "Oil price shocks in an island economy: an analysis of the oil price-macroeconomy relationship," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 44(3), pages 599-620, June.
    17. Jayaraman, T.K. & Choong, Chee-Keong, 2009. "Growth and oil price: A study of causal relationships in small Pacific Island countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2182-2189, June.
    18. Dizaji, Sajjad Faraji, 2014. "The effects of oil shocks on government expenditures and government revenues nexus (with an application to Iran's sanctions)," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 299-313.
    19. Matteo Manera & Alessandro Cologni, 2006. "The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on Output Growth: A Markov-Switching Analysis for the G-7 Countries," Working Papers 2006.29, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    20. Kamel Malik Bensafta, 2022. "The impact of oil price shocks on economic growth in Algeria," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2022(2), pages 63-82.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sum:sjefsm:2018:p:22-30. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Managing Editor (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sumerianz.com/?ic=journal-home&journal=26#h .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.