IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ssi/jouesi/v10y2022i2p473-494.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sustainability of electricity prices and the consequences for the Prague Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Florin Aliu

    (Institute of Technology and Business in České Budějovice, Czech Republic)

  • Simona Hašková

    (Institute of Technology and Business in České Budějovice, Czech Republic)

  • Petr Šuleř

    (Institute of Technology and Business in České Budějovice, Czech Republic)

Abstract

Sustainability of electricity prices hold an important part of the family budget, business operational costs, and vitality of the economy. Currently, multinational corporations are considered the main users of electricity and other energy recourses. For this purpose, we analyze the sustainability of electricity price and their impact equity stocks in the PX Index. The PX Index, which originates from Prague Stock Exchange is generally composed of firms in the financial and energy sector. This paper as well tries to predict the performance of these two variables in the 12 months ahead. The data cover the period from 1995 to 2022 standing on the monthly observations. The Vector Error Correction Model was used to detect the effect that electricity prices maintain on the PX Index. The estimated forecasts were conducted in the R program using Facebook Prophet and Auto ARIMA Model. The results indicate that non-sustainability of electricity prices negatively affect the equity stocks listed on the PX Index. Regarding predictions, the PX Index is expected to stay at almost the same levels while electricity prices increase. The results provide modest indications for investors, government, and regulators on the performance of these two indicators 12 periods ahead. Additionally, it is the first attempt to analyze the relationship between electricity prices and the equity markets since the liberalization of the Czech economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Florin Aliu & Simona Hašková & Petr Šuleř, 2022. "Sustainability of electricity prices and the consequences for the Prague Stock Exchange," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 10(2), pages 473-494, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ssi:jouesi:v:10:y:2022:i:2:p:473-494
    DOI: 10.9770/jesi.2022.10.2(30)
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://jssidoi.org/jesi/uploads/articles/38/Aliu_Sustainability_of_electricity_prices_and_the_consequences_for_the_Prague_Stock_Exchange.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://jssidoi.org/jesi/article/1038
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.9770/jesi.2022.10.2(30)?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonathan A. Batten & Harald Kinateder & Niklas Wagner, 2022. "Beating the Average: Equity Premium Variations, Uncertainty, and Liquidity," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(3), pages 567-588, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. O’Sullivan, Conall & Papavassiliou, Vassilios G. & Wafula, Ronald Wekesa & Boubaker, Sabri, 2024. "New insights into liquidity resiliency," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Equity premium prediction using the price of crude oil: Uncovering the nonlinear predictive impact," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Chan, Kam Fong & Malik, Ihtisham, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and the cross-section of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    4. Niu, Zibo & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhu, Xuehong, 2024. "Do industries predict stock market volatility? Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Abdullah, Mohammad & Masih, Mansur, 2022. "COVID-19 government interventions and cryptocurrency market: Is there any optimum portfolio diversification?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Frömel, Pascal & Kolmeder, Severin & Wagner, Dominik, 2023. "Where prices are not lazy: Evidence from REITs and the financial sector," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    7. Roi D. Taussig, 2024. "Operating Cost Flexibility and Implications for Stock Returns," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-7, October.
    8. Yu, Dan & Chen, Chuang & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Hedging pressure momentum and the predictability of oil futures returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    9. Taussig, Roi D., 2024. "Pension expenses, risk, and implications for stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    electricity prices; equity stocks; PX index; VEC model; Facebook Prophet; Auto ARIMA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ssi:jouesi:v:10:y:2022:i:2:p:473-494. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Manuela Tvaronaviciene (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.