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Deutlicher Anstieg der Nettozuwanderung nach Deutschland

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  • Carsten-Patrick Meier

Abstract

Since 2010 net immigration to Germany has risen significantly. Net immigration to Germany in 2012 is estimated to total nearly 400 000 people. Influxes of such a magnitude have significant macroeconomic implications. While in the long run they increase the domestic labour force and hence potential output, they moderate wages and prices in the short run. This article investigates the determinants of immigration to Germany and its outlook for the coming years. It shows that differences in employment opportunities in Germany and in the rest of Europe largely explain migration flows. Owing to Germany’s attractive labour market and the expected slow recovery in neighbouring Europe, cumulative immigration to Germany is likely to exceed two million by 2017. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Carsten-Patrick Meier, 2013. "Deutlicher Anstieg der Nettozuwanderung nach Deutschland," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 93(7), pages 466-470, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:93:y:2013:i:7:p:466-470
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-013-1549-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Konjunktur zieht an – Haushaltsüberschüsse sinnvoll nutzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(20), pages 03-60, October.
    2. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2013," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 80(43), pages 3-77.
    3. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Giesen, Sebastian & Hennecke, Peter & Kiesel, Konstantin & Loose, Brigitte & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Ökonomische Wirksamkeit der Konjunktur stützenden finanzpolitischen Maßnahmen der Jahre 2008 und 2009. Forschungsvorhaben im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen," IWH Online 4/2015, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    4. Sachs, Andreas & Kappler, Marcus & Groll, Dominik, 2013. "Das Produktionspotenzial im Herbst 2013," ZEW Wachstums- und Konjunkturanalysen, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, vol. 16(3), pages 8-9.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    C53; F22; J61;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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