IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/wirtsc/v93y2013i6p377-383.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Günstige Aufkommensperspektiven — Steuererhöhungen nicht erforderlich

Author

Listed:
  • Heinz Gebhardt
  • Rainer Kambeck

Abstract

In May 2013, the Working Party on Tax Revenue Forecasting presented its new estimate, which is based on the federal government’s spring projection of the medium-term development of the overall economy. Tax revenues are estimated to expand from yy600 bn in 2012 to yy704.5 bn in 2017. Because the tax revenues increase at a faster pace than the nominal GDP, the tax-to-GDP ratio increases from 22.7% to 23.1%. Contrary to the diagnosis of the opposition parties in the German Bundestag, we see no structural revenue gap. In fact, public budgets will realise structural surpluses in the coming years if governments are successful in constraining expenditure growth. There are no convincing reasons to increase public revenues by increasing tax rates or launching new fees; in both cases tax burdens would increase and that would dampen economic growth. Instead, there will be budgetary leeway to reduce the fiscal drag if governments are committed to a sound consolidation policy. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Heinz Gebhardt & Rainer Kambeck, 2013. "Günstige Aufkommensperspektiven — Steuererhöhungen nicht erforderlich," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 93(6), pages 377-383, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:93:y:2013:i:6:p:377-383
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-013-1537-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10273-013-1537-x
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10273-013-1537-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gisela Färber & André W. Heinemann & Tanja Kasten & Reiner Holznagel & Jens Lemmer, 2013. "Verlängerung des Solidaritätszuschlags: Falsches Signal bei der Steuerpolitik?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 03-16, October.
    2. Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (Essen) (ed.), 2014. "Gesetz zur Vorlage einer verbindlichen Finanzplanung bis 2020. Stellungnahme zur Anhörung im Landtag Nordrhein-Westfalen am 22. Mai 2014," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 111438.
    3. Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Kitlinski, Tobias & Micheli, Martin & Vosen, Simeon & Zwick, Lina, 2013. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Binnennachfrage trägt Aufschwung," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 64(3), pages 41-103.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    H20; H62; H71;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:93:y:2013:i:6:p:377-383. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.