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Temporal Hydrologic Alterations Coupled with Climate Variability and Drought for Transboundary River Basins

Author

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  • Ruqayah Mohammed

    (Lund University)

  • Miklas Scholz

    (Lund University
    The University of Salford)

  • Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani

    (Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman)

Abstract

Climate change (CC) and drought episode impacts linked with anthropogenic pressure have become an increasing concern for policy makers and water resources managers. The current research presents a comprehensive methodology but simple approach for predicting the annual streamflow alteration based on drought indices and hydrological alteration indicators. This has been achieved depending on the evaluation of drought severity and CC impacts during the human intervention periods to separate the influence of climatic abnormality and measure the hydrologic deviations as a result of streamflow regulation configurations. As a representative case study, the Lesser Zab River Basin in northern Iraq has been chosen. In order to analyse the natural flow regime, 34 hydrological years of streamflow (1931–1965) prior to the main dam construction were assessed. The Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration (IHA) method has been applied to quantify the hydrological alterations of various flow characteristics. In addition, an easy approach for hydrological drought prediction in relatively small basins grounded on meteorological parameters during the early months of the hydrological year has been presented. The prediction was accomplished by implementing the one-dimensional drought examination and the reconnaissance drought index (RDI) for evaluating the severity of meteorological drought. The proposed methodology is founded on linear regression relations connecting the RDI of 3, 6, and 12 months and the streamflow drought index (SDI). The results are critical for circumstances where an early exploration of meteorological drought is obtainable. Outcomes assist water resources managers, engineers, policy makers and decision-makers responsible for mitigating the effects of CC.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruqayah Mohammed & Miklas Scholz & Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani, 2017. "Temporal Hydrologic Alterations Coupled with Climate Variability and Drought for Transboundary River Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(5), pages 1489-1502, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:5:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1590-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-017-1590-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. Adeloye & B.-S. Soundharajan & C. Ojha & R. Remesan, 2016. "Effect of Hedging-Integrated Rule Curves on the Performance of the Pong Reservoir (India) During Scenario-Neutral Climate Change Perturbations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 445-470, January.
    2. Ruqayah Mohammed & Miklas Scholz, 2017. "Impact of Evapotranspiration Formulations at Various Elevations on the Reconnaissance Drought Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 531-548, January.
    3. Neha Mittal & Ajay Bhave & Ashok Mishra & Rajendra Singh, 2016. "Impact of Human Intervention and Climate Change on Natural Flow Regime," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 685-699, January.
    4. Neha Mittal & Ajay Gajanan Bhave & Ashok Mishra & Rajendra Singh, 2016. "Impact of Human Intervention and Climate Change on Natural Flow Regime," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 685-699, January.
    5. A. J. Adeloye & B.-S. Soundharajan & C. S. P. Ojha & R. Remesan, 2016. "Effect of Hedging-Integrated Rule Curves on the Performance of the Pong Reservoir (India) During Scenario-Neutral Climate Change Perturbations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 445-470, January.
    6. I. Nalbantis & G. Tsakiris, 2009. "Assessment of Hydrological Drought Revisited," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(5), pages 881-897, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ruqayah Mohammed & Miklas Scholz, 2017. "Adaptation Strategy to Mitigate the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions: a Case Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(11), pages 3557-3573, September.
    2. Antonino Cancelliere, 2017. "Non Stationary Analysis of Extreme Events," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(10), pages 3097-3110, August.

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