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Assessment of Sustainability in Water Supply-Demand Considering Uncertainties

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammad Karamouz

    (University of Tehran)

  • Paniz Mohammadpour

    (University of Tehran)

  • Davood Mahmoodzadeh

    (University of Tehran)

Abstract

Water is a vital resource for life on earth; hence its maintenance is very important. Different regions especially in arid and semi-arid areas are facing population growth and subsequent increase in the domestic, industrial and agricultural activities. Planning of water systems in order to be ready for future development conditions needs further studies on the estimation of the sustainable levels of demands based on the sustainable levels of supplies. In this study a threefold approach for estimating sustainability level of supply and demand in Ahachay river basin in northwestern part of Iran as a case study is taken. In the first method, the internal flows and the origins and final uses of the total resources for each subsystem are estimated and planning for sustainability use index is determined by calculating the available water. Second method introduced a simulation model which is utilized to estimate reliability, resiliency, vulnerability and maximum deficit for a river basin to determine a group sustainability index. In the third method, for evaluating the movement toward sustainability, an index is developed. This index includes parameters that are the difference between supply and demand, percentage of the satisfied demand, productivity of water resources and an indicator for evaluating the reduction of aquifer storage. Finally these methods are compared and a hybrid index combining the indices is developed. An uncertainty analysis is also performed to investigate the random nature of variables in estimating water balance and quantifying the water sustainability. This hybrid index can be used for evaluating the planning scenarios and for maintaining and improving the sustainable state of supply-demand for the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Karamouz & Paniz Mohammadpour & Davood Mahmoodzadeh, 2017. "Assessment of Sustainability in Water Supply-Demand Considering Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3761-3778, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1703-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-017-1703-9
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    1. World Commission on Environment and Development,, 1987. "Our Common Future," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780192820808, Decembrie.
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    2. Parvin Golfam & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh, 2022. "Performance Indexes Analysis of the Reservoir-Hydropower Plant System Affected by Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 5127-5162, October.
    3. Mohammad H. Golmohammadi & Hamid R. Safavi & Samuel Sandoval-Solis & Mahmood Fooladi, 2021. "Improving Performance Criteria in the Water Resource Systems Based on Fuzzy Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(2), pages 593-611, January.
    4. Sina Jahanshahi & Reza Kerachian & Omid Emamjomehzadeh, 2023. "A Leader-Follower Framework for Sustainable Water Pricing and Allocation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(3), pages 1257-1274, February.
    5. Ser-Oddamba Byambadorj & Byung Bae Park & Jonathan O. Hernandez & Narantugs Dulamsuren & Zoljargal Sainbuyan & Oyuntugs Altantugs & Khulan Sharavdorj & In Kyeong Seong & Nyam-Osor Batkhuu, 2021. "Optimal Irrigation Regime for Woody Species Potentially Suitable for Effective and Sustainable Afforestation in the Desert Region of Mongolia," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-17, February.
    6. João Vieira & Maria Conceição Cunha & Ricardo Luís, 2018. "Integrated Assessment of Water Reservoir Systems Performance with the Implementation of Ecological Flows under Varying Climatic Conditions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(15), pages 5183-5205, December.
    7. Siddappa Pallavi & Shivamurthy Ravindra Yashas & Kotermane Mallikarjunappa Anilkumar & Behzad Shahmoradi & Harikaranahalli Puttaiah Shivaraju, 2021. "Comprehensive Understanding of Urban Water Supply Management: Towards Sustainable Water-socio-economic-health-environment Nexus," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 315-336, January.

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