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Risk-Informed Decision Making Framework for Operating a Multi-Purpose Hydropower Reservoir During Flooding and High Inflow Events, Case Study: Cheakamus River System

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  • M. Alipour

Abstract

Operating a multi-purpose hydropower reservoir during flooding and high inflow events is a challenging and complicated task. Three main elements contribute to this complexity: addition of minimizing flood damage to the set of objectives of the problem, exponential boost in inflow forecast uncertainty-driven risks as a result of the high sensitivity of the outcomes to inflow forecasts, and the unavoidable necessity of making a decision within a very short time although the decision making process requires comprehensive analysis. A Risk-Informed Decision Making (RIDM) framework as a pre-developed guideline for operational planners might be the only solution to the problem.We explain the structure of such a framework in the literature, and implement an RIDM framework for the Cheakamus River System. In developing the RIDM framework in our study, we make several modifications to the previous RIDM framework for Cheakamus River System by minimizing subjectivity in the decision making process, incorporating comprehensive risk consideration in the process, and taking account of the entire range of operational alternatives. We also explain how the framework could be developed for other case studies. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

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  • M. Alipour, 2015. "Risk-Informed Decision Making Framework for Operating a Multi-Purpose Hydropower Reservoir During Flooding and High Inflow Events, Case Study: Cheakamus River System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(3), pages 801-815, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:29:y:2015:i:3:p:801-815
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0844-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Wei Ge & Zongkun Li & Robert Y. Liang & Wei Li & Yingchun Cai, 2017. "Methodology for Establishing Risk Criteria for Dams in Developing Countries, Case Study of China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(13), pages 4063-4074, October.
    2. Banafsheh Nematollahi & Mohammad Reza Nikoo & Amir H. Gandomi & Nasser Talebbeydokhti & Gholam Reza Rakhshandehroo, 2022. "A Multi-criteria Decision-making Optimization Model for Flood Management in Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 4933-4949, October.
    3. Erica Vassoney & Andrea Mammoliti Mochet & Claudio Comoglio, 2020. "Multicriteria Analysis for the Assessment of Flow Release Scenarios from a Hydropower Plant in the Alpine Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(2), pages 637-651, January.
    4. Jianan Qin & Xiang Fu & Shaoming Peng, 2020. "Asymmetric Benefit Compensation Model for Resolving Transboundary Water Management Conflicts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(11), pages 3625-3647, September.
    5. José Roberto Ribas & Juan Ignacio Perez Diaz, 2019. "Assessment of Sustainable Use of a Multipurpose Reservoir through the Multicriteria Approach: the Case of Corumbá IV Reservoir, Brazil," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(2), pages 591-602, January.

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