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The Delta Model for Fresh Water Policy Analysis in the Netherlands

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  • Geert Prinsen
  • Frederiek Sperna Weiland
  • Erik Ruijgh

Abstract

During dry years, such as 2003 and the early summer of 2011, the Netherlands faces water shortages, salt intrusion, navigation limitations and problems with availability of cooling water for power plants. Considering the changing climate, the frequency of these problems is expected to increase. A policy analysis using an integrated set of models has been launched by the government: the Dutch Delta Programme. The Delta model is the consistent set of models for analysing the decisions related to the long-term fresh water supply and flood risk management of the Netherlands. The country-wide SOBEK-1D hydrodynamic surface water model (LSM) was developed as part of the Delta model and forms the link between the Netherlands Hydrological Instrument (NHI) and impact assessment models for salinity, temperature, water quality, aquatic ecology and navigation. The Delta model provides a computational facility that automates the workflow of running sets of interconnected models for the national policy analysis on fresh water and various regional programmes within the Delta Programme. The Delta model, although being computationally demanding, enabled analyses of the present situation, future scenarios (2050 and 2100) and possible adaptation measures. Moreover, the Delta model has supported consistency between the national analyses and regional analyses in the Delta Programme. Copyright The Author(s) 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Geert Prinsen & Frederiek Sperna Weiland & Erik Ruijgh, 2015. "The Delta Model for Fresh Water Policy Analysis in the Netherlands," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 645-661, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:29:y:2015:i:2:p:645-661
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0880-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tobias Bölscher & Erik Van Slobbe & Michelle T.H. Van Vliet & Saskia E. Werners, 2013. "Adaptation Turning Points in River Restoration? The Rhine Salmon Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(6), pages 1-17, May.
    2. David Bruggeman, 2011. "The science of science policy," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 38(8), pages 662-664, October.
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