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Integrated Assessment of the European WFD Implementation in Extremely Overexploited Aquifers Through Participatory Modelling

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  • Jose-Luis Molina
  • Jose García-Aróstegui
  • John Bromley
  • Jose Benavente

Abstract

Participatory methods provide an increasingly accepted path to integrated water assessment. This research describes an interdisciplinary exercise of scenario design and modelling, which provides a methodology to couple hard science numerical modelling approaches with the involvement of key water actors and socioeconomic issues. A decision support system based on probabilistic methods (Bayesian networks) is the tool chosen for dealing with the interdisciplinary issues involved in this aquifer. Given the long-standing conflicts in the area, modelling work largely focuses on carrying out an impact assessment produced by different scenarios established under the light of the mandatory objectives established by the European Union Water Framework Directive. This methodology is applied to a semi-arid aquifer located in SE Spain (Serral-Salinas) that represents an extreme case of intensive groundwater use. Irrigation has been a catalyst for welfare in the area for the past 40 years, despite the resulting large groundwater drawdown and continuous rise of groundwater pumping energy costs. Modelling results suggest that only a drastic change in the abstraction regime can produce a solution to long term sustainability of the aquifers. In addition, the impact assessment advises that such objectives are unlikely to be met due to the high economic costs of this action. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Jose-Luis Molina & Jose García-Aróstegui & John Bromley & Jose Benavente, 2011. "Integrated Assessment of the European WFD Implementation in Extremely Overexploited Aquifers Through Participatory Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3343-3370, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:13:p:3343-3370
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9859-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Jose-Luis Molina & Raziyeh Farmani & John Bromley, 2011. "Aquifers Management through Evolutionary Bayesian Networks: The Altiplano Case Study (SE Spain)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(14), pages 3883-3909, November.
    3. Jose-Luis Molina & Sergio Martos-Rosillo & Crisanto Martín-Montañés & Suzanne Pierce, 2012. "The Social Sustainable Aquifer Yield: An Indicator for the Analysis and Assessment of the Integrated Aquifers Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(10), pages 2951-2971, August.
    4. Rupérez-Moreno, Carmen & Senent-Aparicio, Javier & Martinez-Vicente, David & García-Aróstegui, José Luis & Calvo-Rubio, Francisco Cabezas & Pérez-Sánchez, Julio, 2017. "Sustainability of irrigated agriculture with overexploited aquifers: The case of Segura basin (SE, Spain)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 67-76.
    5. Lucie Clavel & Marie-Hélène Charron & Olivier Therond & Delphine Leenhardt, 2012. "A Modelling Solution for Developing and Evaluating Agricultural Land-Use Scenarios in Water Scarcity Contexts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(9), pages 2625-2641, July.
    6. Md Ali & Ismail Abustan & Md Rahman & Abu Haque, 2012. "Sustainability of Groundwater Resources in the North-Eastern Region of Bangladesh," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(3), pages 623-641, February.
    7. José-Luis Molina & Santiago Zazo & Ana-María Martín-Casado & María-Carmen Patino-Alonso, 2020. "Rivers’ Temporal Sustainability through the Evaluation of Predictive Runoff Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-21, February.

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