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A Business-As-Usual Scenario Analysis for the Po Basin-North Adriatic Continuum

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  • G. Trombino
  • N. Pirrone
  • S. Cinnirella

Abstract

The aim of this paper was to analyse Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenarios for addressing the eutrophication issue of the Po Basin-North Adriatic coastal zone continuum. A multidisciplinary approach was developed combining Ecologic and Economic disciplines being a relevant step for shaping cost-effective strategies aiming to achieve the water quality targets as required by the Water Framework Directive (WFD) 2000/60/EC and by the Italian D.lgs. 152 of the 2006. The BAU scenarios analysed suggest an increase of nutrient load (2.1–4.6% for nitrogen and 0.4–5% for phosphorus) if the current programme of measures will not be modified implying that Water Qualitative Objectives (WQOs) will not be achieved by the year 2015 (Art. 4 of WFD). The methodological approach described in this paper should be used as Decision Support System (DSS) aiming to support environmental planning process under both the WFD and the Italian D.lgs. 152 of the 2006. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2007

Suggested Citation

  • G. Trombino & N. Pirrone & S. Cinnirella, 2007. "A Business-As-Usual Scenario Analysis for the Po Basin-North Adriatic Continuum," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(12), pages 2063-2074, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:21:y:2007:i:12:p:2063-2074
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-007-9198-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giupponi, Carlo & Cogan, Valeria & la Jeunesse, Isabelle, 2002. "Eu Water Policy: Research Developments And New Management Tools," Working Papers 14463, University of Minnesota, Center for International Food and Agricultural Policy.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eun-Sung Chung & Won-Pyo Hong & Kil Lee & Steven Burian, 2011. "Integrated Use of a Continuous Simulation Model and Multi-Attribute Decision-Making for Ranking Urban Watershed Management Alternatives," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(2), pages 641-659, January.
    2. Lawrence Kiage & Nan Walker, 2009. "Using NDVI from MODIS to Monitor Duckweed Bloom in Lake Maracaibo, Venezuela," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(6), pages 1125-1135, April.
    3. Ann Griensven & N. Fohrer & C. McCulloch, 2007. "Editorial Notes," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(12), pages 1991-1992, December.
    4. Abbas Al-Omari & Saleh Al-Quraan & Adnan Al-Salihi & Fayez Abdulla, 2009. "A Water Management Support System for Amman Zarqa Basin in Jordan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(15), pages 3165-3189, December.
    5. Yousra Tourki & Jeffrey Keisler & Igor Linkov, 2013. "Scenario analysis: a review of methods and applications for engineering and environmental systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 3-20, March.

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