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Long-Term Assessment of Energy Demand in Russian Passenger Transport in the Context of Low-Carbon Transformation

Author

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  • O. V. Mazurova

    (Melentiev Energy Systems Institute, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the future demand for energy in transport in the context of the transition to a low-carbon development trajectory in accordance with the adopted “Strategy for the long-term development of the Russian Federation with low greenhouse gas emissions until 2050.” The research is based on scenario forecasting and mathematical modeling methods. The results of a forecast assessment of the demand for motor fuel and electricity in passenger transport in Russia as a whole and in federal districts until 2050 have been presented, taking into account: 1) transition of the economy to a low-carbon development model; 2) change in the structure of passenger turnover in favor of less carbon-intensive modes of transport; 3) increase in the energy efficiency and environmental safety of vehicles. The possible consequences of large-scale development of electric transport in Russia in the long term have been given.

Suggested Citation

  • O. V. Mazurova, 2024. "Long-Term Assessment of Energy Demand in Russian Passenger Transport in the Context of Low-Carbon Transformation," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 415-422, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:35:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700724030109
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700724030109
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