IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sorede/v32y2021i3d10.1134_s107570072103014x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A System of Prediction Calculations of Regional Macroeconomic Indicators

Author

Listed:
  • A. V. Suvorov

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • V. N. Ivanov

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • N. N. Mikheeva

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • A. I. Budanova

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The article describes the system of prediction calculations of the indicators of the economy of the regions of the Central and Northwestern Caucasus on the basis of a set of macroeconomic balances. Methods for assessing the possible impact of natural disasters and calamities on the economic indicators of regions were proposed. The results of experimental calculations of the impact on the economy of these regions of dangerous natural processes and cataclysms were presented.

Suggested Citation

  • A. V. Suvorov & V. N. Ivanov & N. N. Mikheeva & A. I. Budanova, 2021. "A System of Prediction Calculations of Regional Macroeconomic Indicators," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 238-244, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:32:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1134_s107570072103014x
    DOI: 10.1134/S107570072103014X
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S107570072103014X
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1134/S107570072103014X?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yasuhide Okuyama & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings & Michael Sonis, 2004. "Measuring Economic Impacts of Disasters: Interregional Input-Output Analysis Using Sequential Interindustry Model," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Yasuhide Okuyama & Stephanie E. Chang (ed.), Modeling Spatial and Economic Impacts of Disasters, chapter 5, pages 77-101, Springer.
    2. A. V. Suvorov & V. N. Ivanov & A. I. Budanova, 2021. "A System of Macroeconomic Balances for Forecasting the Economies of Russian Regions," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 123-132, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aaron B. Gertz & James B. Davies & Samantha L. Black, 2019. "A CGE Framework for Modeling the Economics of Flooding and Recovery in a Major Urban Area," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(6), pages 1314-1341, June.
    2. Kiyoshi Yonemoto, 2016. "Changes in the input–output structures of the six regions of Fukushima, Japan: 3 years after the disaster," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, December.
    3. Stéphane Hallegatte, 2014. "Modeling the Role of Inventories and Heterogeneity in the Assessment of the Economic Costs of Natural Disasters," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 152-167, January.
    4. Iman Rahimi Aloughareh & Mohsen Ghafory Ashtiany & Kiarash Nasserasadi, 2016. "An Integrated Methodology For Regional Macroeconomic Loss Estimation Of Earthquake: A Case Study Of Tehran," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(04), pages 1-24, September.
    5. Jonkman, S.N. & Bockarjova, M. & Kok, M. & Bernardini, P., 2008. "Integrated hydrodynamic and economic modelling of flood damage in the Netherlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 77-90, May.
    6. Stanislav Shmelev & Harrison Roger Brook, 2021. "Macro Sustainability across Countries: Key Sector Environmentally Extended Input-Output Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-46, October.
    7. Joanna Resurreccion & Joost Santos, 2013. "Uncertainty modeling of hurricane-based disruptions to interdependent economic and infrastructure systems," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1497-1518, December.
    8. Inoue, Hiroyasu & Todo, Yasuyuki, 2017. "Firm-level simulation of supply chain disruption triggered by actual and predicted earthquakes," MPRA Paper 82920, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Feb 2017.
    9. Lorenzo Carrera & Gabriele Standardi & Francesco Bosello & Jaroslav Mysiak, 2014. "Assessing Direct and Indirect Economic Impacts of a Flood Event Through the Integration of Spatial and Computable General Equilibrium Modelling," Working Papers 2014.82, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    10. Safarzyńska, Karolina & Brouwer, Roy & Hofkes, Marjan, 2013. "Evolutionary modelling of the macro-economic impacts of catastrophic flood events," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 108-118.
    11. Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & Kim,Ella Jisun & Thies,Stephan Fabian & De Vries Robbe,Sophie Anne & Erman,Alvina Elisabeth & Hallegatte,Stephane, 2021. "Floods and Their Impacts on Firms : Evidence from Tanzania," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9774, The World Bank.
    12. N. N. Mikheeva, 2022. "“New” Regional Proportions: Results of Calculating Gross Regional Product," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 293-300, June.
    13. Kenneth G. Crowther & Yacov Y. Haimes, 2005. "Application of the inoperability input—output model (IIM) for systemic risk assessment and management of interdependent infrastructures," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(4), pages 323-341.
    14. Ji Guo & Hui Liu & Xianhua Wu & Jiong Gu & Shunfeng Song & Yinshan Tang, 2015. "Natural Disasters, Economic Growth and Sustainable Development in China―An Empirical Study Using Provincial Panel Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-18, December.
    15. Muhammad Abdullah Khalid & Yousaf Ali, 2020. "Economic impact assessment of natural disaster with multi-criteria decision making for interdependent infrastructures," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(8), pages 7287-7311, December.
    16. Yacov Y. Haimes & Kenneth Crowther & Barry M. Horowitz, 2008. "Homeland security preparedness: Balancing protection with resilience in emergent systems," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), pages 287-308, December.
    17. José Manuel Rueda-Cantuche & Iñaki Arto & Valeria Andreoni & José M. Rueda-Cantuche, 2012. "Worldwide economic effects of disruptions in the production chain: the 2011 Japanese disasters," EcoMod2012 4088, EcoMod.
    18. Yoshio Kajitani & Hirokazu Tatano, 2018. "Applicability of a spatial computable general equilibrium model to assess the short-term economic impact of natural disasters," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 289-312, July.
    19. Rezaei Soufi, Hojat & Esfahanipour, Akbar & Akbarpour Shirazi, Mohsen, 2022. "A quantitative approach for analysis of macroeconomic resilience due to socio-economic shocks," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Boisvert, Richard N. & Kay, David & Turvey, Calum G., 2012. "Macroeconomic costs to large scale disruptions of food production: The case of foot- and-mouth disease in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1921-1930.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:32:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1134_s107570072103014x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.