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Bayesian Networks Model Averaging for Bes Indicators

Author

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  • Pierpaolo D’Urso

    (Sapienza Università di Roma)

  • Vincenzina Vitale

    (Sapienza Università di Roma)

Abstract

The measure of the equitable and sustainable well-being (Bes) is of growing interest in the last years. The National Institute of Statistics (Istat) provides, for Italy, a wide set of indicators describing each domain of well-being that is, by definition, a multidimensional concept. In this study, we propose the use of Bayesian networks to deal with basic and composite Bes indicators. Its capability to model very complex multivariate dependence structures is useful to describe the relationships between indicators belonging to different domains and, being a probabilistic expert system, the estimated network could be also useful for probabilistic inference and what-if analysis. In this study, all the Bayesian networks structures have been estimated by means of the hill climbing algorithm based on bootstrap resampling and model averaging in order to prevent bias due to deviations from the normality assumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierpaolo D’Urso & Vincenzina Vitale, 2020. "Bayesian Networks Model Averaging for Bes Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 897-919, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:soinre:v:151:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11205-020-02401-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11205-020-02401-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hanea, A.M. & Kurowicka, D. & Cooke, R.M. & Ababei, D.A., 2010. "Mining and visualising ordinal data with non-parametric continuous BBNs," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 668-687, March.
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    3. Ron S. Kenett & Galit Shmueli, 2014. "On information quality," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 177(1), pages 3-38, January.
    4. Enrico Casadio Tarabusi & Giulio Guarini, 2013. "An Unbalance Adjustment Method for Development Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 112(1), pages 19-45, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pierpaolo D’Urso & Vincenzina Vitale, 2021. "Modeling Local BES Indicators by Copula-Based Bayesian Networks," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(3), pages 823-847, February.
    2. Luca Secondi, 2021. "Estimating Household Consumption Expenditure at Local Level In Italy: The Potential of the Cokriging Spatial Predictor," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(2), pages 651-674, January.

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