IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sankhb/v84y2022i1d10.1007_s13571-020-00241-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The General Tail Dependence Function in the Marshall-Olkin and Other Parametric Copula Models with an Application to Financial Time Series

Author

Listed:
  • Yuri Salazar Flores

    (National Autonomous University of Mexico)

  • Adán Díaz-Hernández

    (Universidad Anáhuac México)

Abstract

The accurate understanding of the dependence structure implied by the parametric models studied in statistical and financial literature has drawn growing attention in recent times. In particular, tail dependence is crucial in this analysis. We study the general tail dependence function in some of the most common copula models found in literature, in which this function has not been obtained. These models are used by statisticians and practitioners alike. With the general tail dependence function, we cover positive and non-positive tail dependence often overlooked. The use of the general tail dependence function generalises the well known approach of using the survival copula to tackle upper tail dependence. We present relevant results regarding tail dependence related functions. We include a broad guide for bivariate families and Hierarchical Archimedean copulas in dimensions 3 and 4. In the multivariate case we study the Marshall-Olkin copula, examples of models based on Max-Id distributions and Extreme Value copulas among others. In an empirical section we exemplify with real data the usefulness of our results by modelling arbitrary types of tail dependence. Furthermore we show how our approach can yield better estimates of Value at Risk than other standard approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuri Salazar Flores & Adán Díaz-Hernández, 2022. "The General Tail Dependence Function in the Marshall-Olkin and Other Parametric Copula Models with an Application to Financial Time Series," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 84(1), pages 146-187, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sankhb:v:84:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s13571-020-00241-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s13571-020-00241-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13571-020-00241-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13571-020-00241-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rafael Schmidt & Ulrich Stadtmüller, 2006. "Non‐parametric Estimation of Tail Dependence," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 307-335, June.
    2. Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005. "A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889.
    3. Christian Genest & Jean‐François Quessy & Bruno Rémillard, 2006. "Goodness‐of‐fit Procedures for Copula Models Based on the Probability Integral Transformation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 337-366, June.
    4. Joe, H., 1993. "Parametric Families of Multivariate Distributions with Given Margins," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 262-282, August.
    5. Haijun Li, 2008. "Tail Dependence Comparison of Survival Marshall–Olkin Copulas," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 39-54, March.
    6. Okhrin, Ostap & Okhrin, Yarema & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2013. "On the structure and estimation of hierarchical Archimedean copulas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 189-204.
    7. Andrew J. Patton, 2006. "Modelling Asymmetric Exchange Rate Dependence," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 47(2), pages 527-556, May.
    8. Genest, Christian & Rémillard, Bruno & Beaudoin, David, 2009. "Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: A review and a power study," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 199-213, April.
    9. Peter Christoffersen & Vihang Errunza & Kris Jacobs & Hugues Langlois, 2012. "Is the Potential for International Diversification Disappearing? A Dynamic Copula Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(12), pages 3711-3751.
    10. Joe, Harry & Li, Haijun & Nikoloulopoulos, Aristidis K., 2010. "Tail dependence functions and vine copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 252-270, January.
    11. M. Taylor, 2007. "Multivariate measures of concordance," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 59(4), pages 789-806, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuri Salazar Flores & Adán Díaz-Hernández, 2021. "Counterdiagonal/nonpositive tail dependence in Vine copula constructions: application to portfolio management," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(2), pages 375-407, June.
    2. Yuri Salazar & Wing Ng, 2015. "Nonparametric estimation of general multivariate tail dependence and applications to financial time series," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 24(1), pages 121-158, March.
    3. Siburg, Karl Friedrich & Stoimenov, Pavel & Weiß, Gregor N.F., 2015. "Forecasting portfolio-Value-at-Risk with nonparametric lower tail dependence estimates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 129-140.
    4. Nikoloulopoulos, Aristidis K. & Joe, Harry & Li, Haijun, 2012. "Vine copulas with asymmetric tail dependence and applications to financial return data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3659-3673.
    5. Jean-David Fermanian, 2012. "An overview of the goodness-of-fit test problem for copulas," Papers 1211.4416, arXiv.org.
    6. Weiß, Gregor N.F., 2011. "Are Copula-GoF-tests of any practical use? Empirical evidence for stocks, commodities and FX futures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 173-188, May.
    7. Li, Feng & Kang, Yanfei, 2018. "Improving forecasting performance using covariate-dependent copula models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 456-476.
    8. Michał Adam & Piotr Bańbuła & Michał Markun, 2013. "Dependence and contagion between asset prices in Poland and abroad. A copula approach," NBP Working Papers 169, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    9. Marc Gronwald & Janina Ketterer & Stefan Trück, 2011. "The Dependence Structure between Carbon Emission Allowances and Financial Markets - A Copula Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 3418, CESifo.
    10. Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2023. "Predicting binary outcomes based on the pair-copula construction," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(6), pages 3089-3119, June.
    11. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2015. "US Monetary and Fiscal Policies - Conflict or Cooperation?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-78, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    12. Koliai, Lyes, 2016. "Extreme risk modeling: An EVT–pair-copulas approach for financial stress tests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-22.
    13. Avdulaj, Krenar & Barunik, Jozef, 2015. "Are benefits from oil–stocks diversification gone? New evidence from a dynamic copula and high frequency data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 31-44.
    14. Lu, Xiaohui & Zheng, Xu, 2020. "A goodness-of-fit test for copulas based on martingale transformation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 84-117.
    15. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2014. "Modeling Dependence Structure and Forecasting Portfolio Value-at-Risk with Dynamic Copulas," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-25, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    16. Gregor Weiß, 2013. "Copula-GARCH versus dynamic conditional correlation: an empirical study on VaR and ES forecasting accuracy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 179-202, August.
    17. Roman Matkovskyy, 2019. "Extremal Economic (Inter)Dependence Studies: A Case of the Eastern European Countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(3), pages 667-698, September.
    18. Górecki, Jan & Hofert, Marius & Okhrin, Ostap, 2021. "Outer power transformations of hierarchical Archimedean copulas: Construction, sampling and estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    19. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2015. "US Monetary and Fiscal Policies - Conflict or Cooperation?," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-78, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    20. BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2018. "The contagion effect in European sovereign debt markets: A regime-switching vine copula approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 153-165.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sankhb:v:84:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s13571-020-00241-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.