IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/rrorus/v14y2024i2d10.1134_s2079970524600124.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Large-Scale Interregional Railway Projects: Assessing the Comparative Efficiency of Alternatives

Author

Listed:
  • S. A. Bykadorov

    (Siberian State Transport University)

  • E. B. Kibalov

    (Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

—The article analyzes options for large-scale railway projects: the Barents Sea–Komi–Ural rail line (Barentskomur) and the North Siberian Railway (Severosib). The feasibility of constructing these projects has been discussed for almost a century. The uncertainty of the results of these latitudinal megaprojects and the costs of their implementation is of strategic importance for Russia. In the long term, the results of these megaprojects may have mixed effects on public performance. In existing methods, uncertainty is associated with a particular degree of risk. To justify the designs, sets of measures are proposed that minimize risks (of a probabilistic and non-probabilistic nature). This article presents an alternative approach when the uncertainty factor is analyzed constructively, in terms of future opportunities. To solve the problems that arise here, the tools of neosystems analysis according to Ya. Kornai and G.B. Kleiner, understood as design of a multidimensional future using a holistic system for assessing large-scale projects with the support of information and expert technologies. It is shown how a set of Russian software products developed at Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences and the Siberian State Transport University is expanding the capabilities of expert technologies in developing recommendations for people making complex investment decisions under conditions of risk and uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • S. A. Bykadorov & E. B. Kibalov, 2024. "Large-Scale Interregional Railway Projects: Assessing the Comparative Efficiency of Alternatives," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 288-295, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:rrorus:v:14:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1134_s2079970524600124
    DOI: 10.1134/S2079970524600124
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S2079970524600124
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1134/S2079970524600124?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. E. B. Kibalov & A. B. Khutoretskii, 2016. "Alternatives to transport support for development of Russia’s Arctic shelf," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 53-58, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. S. A. Bykadorov & E. B. Kibalov, 2021. "On the Issue of the Social Effectiveness of Expert Assessments of Large-Scale Regional Transport Projects," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 490-501, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:rrorus:v:14:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1134_s2079970524600124. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.