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The employment impact of demographic change: A regional analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Batey

    (Department of Civic Design, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK)

  • Moss Madden

    (Department of Civic Design, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK)

Abstract

The central concern of this article is with measurement of the economic impact of demographic change at a regional level. To facilitate this, a method is developed which involves the linking together of two hitherto separate analytical techniques: labour market accounts and extended input-output models. The application of the method is demonstrated by reference to three UK regions - West Midlands, Merseyside, and East Anglia - with contrasting demographic and economic histories over the time intervals 1971-1981 and 1981-1991. The employment impact of consumption derived from demographic change is measured in relation to individual elements of the labour market account and comparisons are made with the effects of economic change over the same time periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Batey & Moss Madden, 1999. "The employment impact of demographic change: A regional analysis," Papers in Regional Science, Springer;Regional Science Association International, vol. 78(1), pages 69-87.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:presci:v:78:y:1999:i:1:p:69-87
    Note: Received: 27 February 1997
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Bermejo & Raúl del Pozo & Pablo Moya, 2021. "Main Factors Determining the Economic Production Sustained by Public Long-Term Care Spending in Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-18, August.
    2. Nobuhiro Okamoto, 2021. "Extended input–output model for urbanization: an empirical test using Chinese data," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, December.
    3. Hetze, Pascal & Ochsen, Carsten, 2005. "How aging of the labor force affects equilibrium unemployment," Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory 57, University of Rostock, Institute of Economics.
    4. Raúl Del Pozo-Rubio & Fernando Bermejo-Patón & Pablo Moya-Martínez, 2022. "Impact of implementation of the Dependency Act on the Spanish economy: an analysis after the 2008 financial crisis," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 111-128, March.
    5. Dimitris Ballas & Graham Clarke & John Dewhurst, 2006. "Modelling the Socio-economic Impacts of Major Job Loss or Gain at the Local Level: a Spatial Microsimulation Framework," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 127-146.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Input-output analysis; demography; employment elasticities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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