IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v95y2019i3d10.1007_s11069-018-3515-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Seismic and flood structural risk in Motozintla, Chiapas, Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • D. A. Novelo-Casanova

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • A. Ponce-Pacheco

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • A. Hernández-Hernández

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • A. Juárez-Sánchez

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • M. I. López-Pérez

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • M. G. Hernández-Bello

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • O. Vega-Flores

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

Abstract

Using the methodology developed by the Mexican National Disaster Prevention Centre (CENAPRED), we assessed the housing’s structural risk to earthquakes and floods of the town of Motozintla, Chiapas, Mexico. Structural vulnerability was estimated by characterizing the local housing’s construction and by randomly and statistically selecting the surveyed houses. We assessed risk by superposing the vulnerability geographical information system (GIS) layer over the seismic microzonation and flood scenarios GIS layers previously generated for Motozintla. Our results indicate that in general, this community has high structural vulnerability and risk levels to the two analyzed natural hazards. Very high seismic structural vulnerability is concentrated mainly along the northeastern and western sides of the local Xelaju Grande River. Another major finding is that in the worst flood case scenario (precipitation of 528 mm/h with flood depth > 125 cm) more than 44% of the houses in Motozintla will be severely damaged. Risk increases due to the prevalent precarious housing conditions. The results of this research will allow local authorities to strength their civil protection plans.

Suggested Citation

  • D. A. Novelo-Casanova & A. Ponce-Pacheco & A. Hernández-Hernández & A. Juárez-Sánchez & M. I. López-Pérez & M. G. Hernández-Bello & O. Vega-Flores, 2019. "Seismic and flood structural risk in Motozintla, Chiapas, Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(3), pages 721-737, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:95:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3515-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3515-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-018-3515-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-018-3515-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xiaolu Gao & Jue Ji, 2014. "Analysis of the seismic vulnerability and the structural characteristics of houses in Chinese rural areas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(2), pages 1099-1114, January.
    2. Susan L. Cutter & Bryan J. Boruff & W. Lynn Shirley, 2003. "Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 84(2), pages 242-261, June.
    3. Kenny, Charles, 2009. "Why do people die in earthquakes ? the costs, benefits and institutions of disaster risk reduction in developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4823, The World Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. David A. Novelo-Casanova & Ana B. Ponce-Pacheco & Aurora Hernández-Hernández, 2021. "Structural vulnerability maps for small communities— case studies: Unión Juárez and Motozintla, Chiapas; Huexca, Morelos; and Jolalpan, Puebla, Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 991-1008, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yi Peng, 2015. "Regional earthquake vulnerability assessment using a combination of MCDM methods," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 234(1), pages 95-110, November.
    2. Meryl Jagarnath & Tirusha Thambiran & Michael Gebreslasie, 2020. "Heat stress risk and vulnerability under climate change in Durban metropolitan, South Africa—identifying urban planning priorities for adaptation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 807-829, November.
    3. Yongdeng Lei & Jing’ai Wang & Yaojie Yue & Hongjian Zhou & Weixia Yin, 2014. "Rethinking the relationships of vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation from a disaster risk perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 609-627, January.
    4. Pujun Liang & Wei Xu & Yunjia Ma & Xiujuan Zhao & Lianjie Qin, 2017. "Increase of Elderly Population in the Rainstorm Hazard Areas of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Kamaldeen Mohammed & Evans Batung & Moses Kansanga & Hanson Nyantakyi-Frimpong & Isaac Luginaah, 2021. "Livelihood diversification strategies and resilience to climate change in semi-arid northern Ghana," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-23, February.
    6. R. Bryson Touchstone & Kathleen Sherman-Morris, 2016. "Vulnerability to prolonged cold: a case study of the Zeravshan Valley of Tajikistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(2), pages 1279-1300, September.
    7. Eric Tate, 2012. "Social vulnerability indices: a comparative assessment using uncertainty and sensitivity analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 325-347, September.
    8. Yi Ge & Guangfei Yang & Yi Chen & Wen Dou, 2019. "Examining Social Vulnerability and Inequality: A Joint Analysis through a Connectivity Lens in the Urban Agglomerations of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, February.
    9. Irina Tumini & Paula Villagra-Islas & Geraldine Herrmann-Lunecke, 2017. "Evaluating reconstruction effects on urban resilience: a comparison between two Chilean tsunami-prone cities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(3), pages 1363-1392, February.
    10. Maximiliano Oportus & Rodrigo Cienfuegos & Alejandro Urrutia & Rafael Aránguiz & Patricio A. Catalán & Matías A. Hube, 2020. "Ex post analysis of engineered tsunami mitigation measures in the town of Dichato, Chile," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(1), pages 367-406, August.
    11. Caitlin Robinson & Stefan Bouzarovski & Sarah Lindley, 2018. "Underrepresenting neighbourhood vulnerabilities? The measurement of fuel poverty in England," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 50(5), pages 1109-1127, August.
    12. Hung-Chih Hung & Ming-Chin Ho & Yi-Jie Chen & Chang-Yi Chian & Su-Ying Chen, 2013. "Integrating long-term seismic risk changes into improving emergency response and land-use planning: a case study for the Hsinchu City, Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 491-508, October.
    13. Aparna Kumari & Tim G. Frazier, 2021. "Evaluating social capital in emergency and disaster management and hazards plans," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 949-973, October.
    14. Gainbi Park & Zengwang Xu, 2022. "The constituent components and local indicator variables of social vulnerability index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(1), pages 95-120, January.
    15. Jie Liu & Zhenwu Shi & Dan Wang, 2016. "Measuring and mapping the flood vulnerability based on land-use patterns: a case study of Beijing, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(3), pages 1545-1565, September.
    16. Vitor Baccarin Zanetti & Wilson Cabral De Sousa Junior & Débora M. De Freitas, 2016. "A Climate Change Vulnerability Index and Case Study in a Brazilian Coastal City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-12, August.
    17. Frederico Fernandes Ávila & Regina C. Alvalá & Rodolfo M. Mendes & Diogo J. Amore, 2024. "Socio-geoenvironmental vulnerability index (SGeoVI) derived from hybrid modeling related to populations at-risk to landslides," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(9), pages 8121-8151, July.
    18. Ella Furness & Harry Nelson, 2016. "Are human values and community participation key to climate adaptation? The case of community forest organisations in British Columbia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(2), pages 243-259, March.
    19. Susanne Moser & Margaret Davidson, 2016. "The third national climate assessment’s coastal chapter: the making of an integrated assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(1), pages 127-141, March.
    20. Chi Zhang & Yuntao Wang & Yu Li & Wei Ding, 2017. "Vulnerability Analysis of Urban Drainage Systems: Tree vs. Loop Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-18, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:95:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3515-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.