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Northern hemisphere tropical cyclones during the quasi-El Niño of late 2014

Author

Listed:
  • A. H. Sobel

    (Columbia University
    Columbia University)

  • Suzana J. Camargo

    (Columbia University)

  • A. G. Barnston

    (Columbia University)

  • M. K. Tippett

    (Columbia University
    King Abdulaziz University)

Abstract

During the second half of 2014, the tropical Pacific was in a state marginally consistent with El Niño. While oceanic indicators were indicative of a weak El Niño event, a number of atmospheric indicators were not, and a number of forecast centers did not declare an El Niño. Nonetheless, the most active tropical cyclone basins of the northern hemisphere—those of the North Atlantic and Pacific—showed tropical cyclone statistics that in some respects were consistent with El Niño. In particular, the numbers of relatively intense storms in the four basins considered—major hurricanes in the Eastern North Pacific and North Atlantic, super typhoons in the Western North Pacific, and hurricanes in the Central North Pacific—formed a pattern strongly consistent with El Niño.

Suggested Citation

  • A. H. Sobel & Suzana J. Camargo & A. G. Barnston & M. K. Tippett, 2016. "Northern hemisphere tropical cyclones during the quasi-El Niño of late 2014," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(3), pages 1717-1729, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:83:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2389-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2389-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. F.-F. Jin & J. Boucharel & I.-I. Lin, 2014. "Eastern Pacific tropical cyclones intensified by El Niño delivery of subsurface ocean heat," Nature, Nature, vol. 516(7529), pages 82-85, December.
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