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A new typhoon bogussing scheme to obtain the possible maximum typhoon and its application for assessment of impacts of the possible maximum storm surges in Ise and Tokyo Bays in Japan

Author

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  • Shinya Shimokawa
  • Tomokazu Murakami
  • Satoshi Iizuka
  • Jun Yoshino
  • Takashi Yasuda

Abstract

We developed the new typhoon bogussing scheme to obtain the possible maximum typhoon approaching any region under any climatic conditions by using a potential vorticity inversion method. Numerical simulations with the new typhoon bogussing scheme are conducted for assessment of storm surges by possible maximum typhoons under the present-day and global warming climatic conditions in Ise and Tokyo Bays in Japan. The results suggest that the storm tide higher than the maximum storm tide in recorded history can occur in Ise and Tokyo Bays even for the present-day climate and the storm tide higher than the design sea level can cause severe damage to Nagoya and Tokyo megacities, in particular, airport facilities in Ise Bay for the global warming climate. These results suggest that the new typhoon bogussing scheme we developed is useful for assessment of impacts of storm surge by the possible maximum typhoons. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Shinya Shimokawa & Tomokazu Murakami & Satoshi Iizuka & Jun Yoshino & Takashi Yasuda, 2014. "A new typhoon bogussing scheme to obtain the possible maximum typhoon and its application for assessment of impacts of the possible maximum storm surges in Ise and Tokyo Bays in Japan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 2037-2052, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:74:y:2014:i:3:p:2037-2052
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1277-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Tomokazu Murakami & Shinya Shimokawa & Jun Yoshino & Takashi Yasuda, 2015. "A new index for evaluation of risk of complex disaster due to typhoons," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(1), pages 29-44, October.

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