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Investigation of karst hydrological processes by using grey auto-incidence analysis

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  • Yonghong Hao
  • Xiang Chen
  • Xuemeng Wang

Abstract

The karst hydrological processes are the response of karst groundwater system to precipitation. The precipitation penetrates through the vadose zone, the subsequent groundwater pressure wave propagates to a spring outlet, and then, the spring discharge changes. This paper proposes a grey auto-incidence analysis for studying the karst hydrological processes. The method can detect the periodicity of a time series, for example, precipitation and spring discharge. Then the approach is applied to Liulin Springs Basin, China. The results show that the auto-incidence degree of precipitation reaches to the maximum (i.e., 0.816) when time delay equals to 8 years. The auto-incidence degree of spring discharge reaches to the maximum (i.e., 0.865) when time delay equals to 3 years. These results show that the periodicity of precipitation is 8 years, and of spring discharge is 3 years. The difference of periodicity between the precipitation and the spring discharge reveals that the processes of precipitation recharging groundwater and groundwater transport are regulated or controlled by karst aquifer. Because of heterogeneity of karst aquifer, the quick flow and base flow occur during the groundwater propagation, which causes the periodicity of spring discharge is not coincidence with of precipitation. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Yonghong Hao & Xiang Chen & Xuemeng Wang, 2014. "Investigation of karst hydrological processes by using grey auto-incidence analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(2), pages 1017-1024, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:71:y:2014:i:2:p:1017-1024
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0695-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yonghong Hao & Bibo Cao & Xiang Chen & Jian Yin & Ronglin Sun & Tian-Chyi Yeh, 2013. "A Piecewise Grey System Model for Study the Effects of Anthropogenic Activities on Karst Hydrological Processes," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1207-1220, March.
    2. Jie Zhou & Yiqun Tang & Ping Yang & Xiaohui Zhang & Nianqing Zhou & Jianxiu Wang, 2012. "Inference of creep mechanism in underground soil loss of karst conduits I. Conceptual model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(3), pages 1191-1215, July.
    3. Xing-Wei Ren & Yi-Qun Tang & Jun Li & Qi Yang, 2012. "A prediction method using grey model for cumulative plastic deformation under cyclic loads," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 441-457, October.
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