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Monitoring the temporal development of natural hazard risks as a basis indicator for climate change adaptation

Author

Listed:
  • A. Zischg
  • S. Schober
  • N. Sereinig
  • M. Rauter
  • C. Seymann
  • F. Goldschmidt
  • R. Bäk
  • E. Schleicher

Abstract

The potential effects of climatic changes on natural risks are widely discussed. But the formulation of strategies for adapting risk management practice to climate changes requires knowledge of the related risks for people and economic values. The main goals of this work were (1) the development of a method for analysing and comparing risks induced by different natural hazard types, (2) highlighting the most relevant natural hazard processes and related damages, (3) the development of an information system for the monitoring of the temporal development of natural hazard risk and (4) the visualisation of the resulting information for the wider public. A comparative exposure analysis provides the basis for pointing out the hot spots of natural hazard risks in the province of Carinthia, Austria. An analysis of flood risks in all municipalities provides the basis for setting the priorities in the planning of flood protection measures. The methods form the basis for a monitoring system that periodically observes the temporal development of natural hazard risks. This makes it possible firstly to identify situations in which natural hazard risks are rising and secondly to differentiate between the most relevant factors responsible for the increasing risks. The factors that most influence the natural risks could be made evident and eventual climate signals could be pointed out. Only with this information can the discussion about potential increases in natural risks due to climate change be separated from other influencing factors and be made at an objective level. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

Suggested Citation

  • A. Zischg & S. Schober & N. Sereinig & M. Rauter & C. Seymann & F. Goldschmidt & R. Bäk & E. Schleicher, 2013. "Monitoring the temporal development of natural hazard risks as a basis indicator for climate change adaptation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(3), pages 1045-1058, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:67:y:2013:i:3:p:1045-1058
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-9927-0
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. María Bermúdez & Andreas Paul Zischg, 2018. "Sensitivity of flood loss estimates to building representation and flow depth attribution methods in micro-scale flood modelling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1633-1648, July.
    2. Melissa Bedinger & Lindsay Beevers & Lila Collet & Annie Visser, 2019. "Are We Doing ‘Systems’ Research? An Assessment of Methods for Climate Change Adaptation to Hydrohazards in a Complex World," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-34, February.

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