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A model-based approach for a systematic risk analysis of local flood emergency operation plans: a first step toward a decision support system

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  • E. Piatyszek
  • G. Karagiannis

Abstract

The recurring heavy precipitations which have struck the south of France these last few years highlight that the affected cities have little pertinent information on how to manage these emergencies, and therefore appear powerless. In response, the development of a local emergency operations plan (EOP) for communities threatened by natural and technological hazards was made compulsory by French law in 2004. This article describes a systematic risk analysis approach for local EOPs. This method is based on a functional model that represents a local EOP as a set of interacting functions, each of them using resources and controls. This decomposition facilitates the identification of the human, technical, and organizational resources that are essential to safeguard the inhabitants of a community threatened by a hazard. This model provides a precise frame for performing an exhaustive and rigorous risk analysis of a local EOP. Based on this model and this risk analysis, potential failures are identified and organized into fault tree for each function. Then assessment checklists of the functions of the EOP are structured via these fault trees. By using these checklists, the analysis of a local EOP becomes more rigorous, exhaustive, and systematic, which makes it possible to broadly study the criticality of the plan. Therefore, this method enhances the potential success of the pre-planned actions during a disaster. This is the first step of a decision support system for city emergency managers who are designing their local emergency plan. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • E. Piatyszek & G. Karagiannis, 2012. "A model-based approach for a systematic risk analysis of local flood emergency operation plans: a first step toward a decision support system," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(3), pages 1443-1462, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:61:y:2012:i:3:p:1443-1462
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-0079-z
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Claudia Paciarotti & Inna Valiakhmetova, 2021. "Evaluating Disaster Operations Management: An Outcome‐Process Integrated Approach," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(2), pages 543-562, February.
    2. Qiang Fu & Fanli Gong & Qiuxiang Jiang & Tianxiao Li & Kun Cheng & He Dong & Xiaosong Ma, 2014. "Risk assessment of the city water resources system based on Pansystems Observation-Control Model of Periphery," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 1899-1912, April.
    3. Priscila da Cunha Luz Barcellos & Marcello Silva Costa & Marcio Cataldi & Carlos Alberto Pereira Soares, 2017. "Management of non-structural measures in the prevention of flash floods: a case study in the city of Duque de Caxias, state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(1), pages 313-330, October.
    4. Anvarifar, Fatemeh & Voorendt, Mark Z. & Zevenbergen, Chris & Thissen, Wil, 2017. "An application of the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) to risk analysis of multifunctional flood defences in the Netherlands," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 130-141.
    5. Mengna Zhang & Qisong Huang & Hua Liu, 2022. "A Multimodal Data Analysis Approach to Social Media during Natural Disasters," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-21, May.
    6. Maurizio Bevilacqua & Filippo Ciarapica & Claudia Paciarotti, 2014. "A BPR approach to hydrogeological risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 1995-2012, April.
    7. Zhou, Jianfeng & Reniers, Genserik & Khakzad, Nima, 2016. "Application of event sequence diagram to evaluate emergency response actions during fire-induced domino effects," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 202-209.

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