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Preparedness and storm hazards in a global warming world: lessons from Southeast Asia

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  • Chew-Hung Chang

Abstract

The 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report 4 found an average increase in global surface temperature of 0.74°C between 1906 and 2005. There is general agreement in the literature that the frequency of extreme precipitation events in Southeast Asia will increase with global warming. In particular, the potential impact of associated storm hazards will render the densely populated countries in Southeast Asia vulnerable to such changes in precipitation events. One main adaptation strategy given such impending changes is preparedness. Using existing literature and historical meteorological data, this paper establishes that Southeast Asia is indeed experiencing storms of higher intensities and more frequently. Two case of extreme storm event in Southeast Asia, the extreme high rainfall event in December 2006 in Southern Johor and Typhoon Vamei, are presented to consider the implications of the increased storm activities due to global warming. These two examples also discuss the need for preparedness in adapting to the impact of global warming. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Chew-Hung Chang, 2011. "Preparedness and storm hazards in a global warming world: lessons from Southeast Asia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 56(3), pages 667-679, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:56:y:2011:i:3:p:667-679
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-010-9581-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stern,Nicholas, 2007. "The Economics of Climate Change," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521700801, October.
    2. P. C. D. Milly & R. T. Wetherald & K. A. Dunne & T. L. Delworth, 2002. "Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 415(6871), pages 514-517, January.
    3. Gabriel A. Vecchi & Brian J. Soden & Andrew T. Wittenberg & Isaac M. Held & Ants Leetmaa & Matthew J. Harrison, 2006. "Weakening of tropical Pacific atmospheric circulation due to anthropogenic forcing," Nature, Nature, vol. 441(7089), pages 73-76, May.
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    1. Kirsten Halsnæs & Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen & Per Skougaard Kaspersen, 2018. "Climate change risks for severe storms in developing countries in the context of poverty and inequality in Cambodia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 261-278, October.
    2. Emily Ying Yang Chan & Asta Yi Tao Man & Holly Ching Yu Lam & Gloria Kwong Wai Chan & Brian J. Hall & Kevin Kei Ching Hung, 2019. "Is Urban Household Emergency Preparedness Associated with Short-Term Impact Reduction after a Super Typhoon in Subtropical City?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-16, February.

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