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Map of seismic hazard of India using Bayesian approach

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  • Alexey Lyubushin
  • Imtiyaz Parvez

Abstract

A straightforward procedure of estimating maximum values of seismic peak ground acceleration and quantiles of its probabilistic distribution on a future time interval of 100 years is applied to territory of India. The input information for the method is seismic catalog and regression relation between peak ground acceleration at a given point and magnitude and distance from the considered site to hypocenter (seismic effect attenuation law). The method is based on Bayesian approach, which simply allows account the influence of uncertainties of seismic acceleration values. The main assumptions for the method are Poissonian character of seismic events flow, a frequency-magnitude law of Gutenberg–Richter’s type with cutoff maximal value for estimated parameter and a seismic catalog, having a rather big number of events. The results obtained in this study show high hazard values in terms of peak ground acceleration in northeast India, Himalayan belt, Andaman region and Kachhach region. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Alexey Lyubushin & Imtiyaz Parvez, 2010. "Map of seismic hazard of India using Bayesian approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 55(2), pages 543-556, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:55:y:2010:i:2:p:543-556
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-010-9546-1
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Imtiyaz Parvez & Anastasia Nekrasova & Vladimir Kossobokov, 2014. "Estimation of seismic hazard and risks for the Himalayas and surrounding regions based on Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 549-562, March.
    2. Imtiyaz A. Parvez & Anastasia Nekrasova & Vladimir Kossobokov, 2018. "Seismic hazard and risk assessment based on Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: thirteen principal urban agglomerations of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1509-1522, July.
    3. Yusuf Bayrak & Tuğba Türker, 2017. "Evaluating of the earthquake hazard parameters with Bayesian method for the different seismic source regions of the North Anatolian Fault Zone," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(1), pages 379-401, January.

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