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Development of Seismic Risk Scenarios Based on a Hybrid Method of Vulnerability Assessment

Author

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  • A. Kappos
  • K. Stylianidis
  • K. Pitilakis

Abstract

A hybrid methodology of vulnerability analysis is presented, involving elements from both empirical and theoretical methods. A model for correlating analytically calculated structural damage indices to loss (in monetary terms) is also proposed and calibrated against available statistical data. Probability damage matrices derived using this methodology are incorporated into a cost-benefit model tailored to the problem of estimating the feasibility of seismically rehabilitating the existing stock of reinforced concrete buildings in Thessaloniki, Greece. Losses calculated using the suggested procedure are found to be in good agreement with losses incurred during the 1978 Thessaloniki earthquake. The results of the present study also indicate that benefit/cost ratios for reinforced concrete buildings are quite low. Hence, it appears that a pre-earthquake strengthening programme is not economically justifiable. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

Suggested Citation

  • A. Kappos & K. Stylianidis & K. Pitilakis, 1998. "Development of Seismic Risk Scenarios Based on a Hybrid Method of Vulnerability Assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 17(2), pages 177-192, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:17:y:1998:i:2:p:177-192
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1008083021022
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Bostenaru Dan, 2018. "Decision Making Based on Benefit-Costs Analysis: Costs of Preventive Retrofit versus Costs of Repair after Earthquake Hazards," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-26, May.
    2. Georgios Deligiannakis & Alexandros Zimbidis & Ioannis Papanikolaou, 2023. "Earthquake loss and Solvency Capital Requirement calculation using a fault-specific catastrophe model," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(4), pages 821-846, October.
    3. Shaghayegh Karimzadeh & Aysegul Askan & Murat Altug Erberik & Ahmet Yakut, 2018. "Seismic damage assessment based on regional synthetic ground motion dataset: a case study for Erzincan, Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1371-1397, July.
    4. Andreas Kappos & E. Dimitrakopoulos, 2008. "Feasibility of pre-earthquake strengthening of buildings based on cost-benefit and life-cycle cost analysis, with the aid of fragility curves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 45(1), pages 33-54, April.
    5. Rita Der Sarkissian & Chadi Abdallah & Jean-Marc Zaninetti & Sara Najem, 2020. "Modelling intra-dependencies to assess road network resilience to natural hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(1), pages 121-137, August.
    6. Mohammadreza Vafaei & Sophia C. Alih, 2018. "Seismic vulnerability of air traffic control towers," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(2), pages 803-822, January.
    7. Betül Şengezer & Atilla Ansal, 2007. "Probabilistic evaluation of observed earthquake damage data in Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 40(2), pages 305-326, February.
    8. Antonios Pomonis, 2002. "The Mount Parnitha (Athens) Earthquake of September 7, 1999: A Disaster Management Perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 27(1), pages 171-199, October.
    9. Naveed Ahmad & Qaisar Ali & Helen Crowley & Rui Pinho, 2014. "Earthquake loss estimation of residential buildings in Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1889-1955, September.

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