IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v121y2025i1d10.1007_s11069-024-06819-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Development of a framework for the prediction of slope stability using machine learning paradigms

Author

Listed:
  • K. C. Rajan

    (Tribhuvan University
    Geoinfra Research Institute)

  • Milan Aryal

    (Tribhuvan University
    Government of Nepal)

  • Keshab Sharma

    (BGC Engineering Inc.)

  • Netra Prakash Bhandary

    (Ehime University)

  • Richa Pokhrel

    (Geoinfra Research Institute)

  • Indra Prasad Acharya

    (Tribhuvan University)

Abstract

Accurate slope stability prediction is of utmost importance to reduce disastrous effects of slope failures and landslides. However, conventional methods of slope stability analysis are complex and challenging, and more importantly, use of these methods in a wide-area slope stability assessment requires a large number of soil property and field investigation data. These complexities and challenges often demand some simplified statistical slope stability analysis models such as by using machine learning (ML) techniques. So, in this research, we develop slope stability prediction models using multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) and classify the slopes as safe or unsafe using random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) methods. For this purpose, a dataset of 4,208 slope cases was created using limit equilibrium-based Slide software. The effectiveness of each model was then evaluated using statistical metrics and validated through roadside slope cases in Nepal, India, Canada, and the UK. In this study, Spencer’s method-based ANN model was found to have demonstrated the highest reliability. The findings of this work may contribute to simplified and better decision-making process in slope stability assessment, slope safety enhancement, and sustainability improvement in engineering projects involving soil slopes.

Suggested Citation

  • K. C. Rajan & Milan Aryal & Keshab Sharma & Netra Prakash Bhandary & Richa Pokhrel & Indra Prasad Acharya, 2025. "Development of a framework for the prediction of slope stability using machine learning paradigms," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(1), pages 83-107, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06819-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06819-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-024-06819-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-024-06819-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06819-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.