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Stochastic assessment of slope failure run-out triggered by earthquake ground motion

Author

Listed:
  • Yu Huang

    (Tongji University
    Tongji University)

  • Geye Li

    (Tongji University)

  • Min Xiong

    (Tongji University)

Abstract

Analysis of the run-out of landslides is essential and vital for disaster mitigation. However, accurate run-out analysis is difficult because of the uncertainty of earthquake ground motion and variability of soil properties. To solve this problem, a new run-out assessment framework that combines the methods of probability density evolution and smoothed particle hydrodynamics is proposed. This novel framework can consider multiple stochastic factors and different slope failure models of changing sliding surfaces. We used a homogeneous 2D slope as an example and generated stochastic seismic loading samples with an intensity-frequency non-stationary ground motion model. Soil property parameters (cohesion and internal friction angle) were assumed to obey logarithmic normal distribution, and run-out parameters were evolved. Moreover, based on an equivalent extreme event, the distributions of final run-out parameters were obtained. In an example with slope height of 100 m and angle of 45°, the probability that the run-out distance is

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Huang & Geye Li & Min Xiong, 2020. "Stochastic assessment of slope failure run-out triggered by earthquake ground motion," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(1), pages 87-102, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:101:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-020-03863-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03863-7
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    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Guotao & Rezania, Mohammad & Mousavi Nezhad, Mohaddeseh & Phoon, Kok-Kwang, 2024. "Multivariate copula-based framework for stochastic analysis of landslide runout distance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).

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