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Uncertainty about children's survival and fertility: A test using indian microdata

Author

Listed:
  • Vincenzo Atella

    (Department of Economics, University of Rome II - Tor Vergata, Via oli Tor Vergata snc, 00133 Roma, Italy)

  • Furio Camillo Rosati

    (Department of Economics, University of Rome II - Tor Vergata, Via oli Tor Vergata snc, 00133 Roma, Italy)

Abstract

In this paper we present a non altruistic model of demand for children in the presence of uncertainty about children's survival. Children are seen as assets, as they provide help during old age. Theoretical predictions relating to the change in the mean and variance of the survival rate are derived. The empirical analysis is based on data from the Human Development of India (HDI) survey. Different models for count data variables, such as Poisson and hurdle models have been employed in the empirical analysis. The results highlight the importance of the uncertainty about children's survival in determining parental choices. This shows that realized or expected children's death is not the only link between fertility decision and children's mortality. The policy implications of such findings are briefly discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincenzo Atella & Furio Camillo Rosati, 2000. "Uncertainty about children's survival and fertility: A test using indian microdata," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 13(2), pages 263-278.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:13:y:2000:i:2:p:263-278
    Note: Received: 20 August 1998/Accepted: 19 July 1999
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    Cited by:

    1. Wiji Arulampalam & Sonia Bhalotra, 2004. "Inequality in Infant Survival Rates in India: Identification of State-Dependence Effects," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 04/558, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    2. Marwân-al-Qays Bousmah, 2017. "The effect of child mortality on fertility behaviors is non-linear: new evidence from Senegal," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 93-113, March.
    3. Jenna Nobles & Elizabeth Frankenberg & Duncan Thomas, 2014. "The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics after a Natural Disaster," NBER Working Papers 20448, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Sulekha Hembram & Sushil Kr. Haldar, 2019. "Beta, sigma and club convergence: Indian experience from 1980 to 2015," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 343-366, December.
    5. F. Rosati & M. Rossi, 2001. "Children's Working Hours, School Enrolment and Human Capital Accumulation: Evidence from Pakistan and Nicaragua," UCW Working Paper 8, Understanding Children's Work (UCW Programme).
    6. Muhammad Zakaria & Bashir Ahmed Fida & Saquib Yousaf Janjua & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2017. "Fertility and Financial Development in South Asia," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 645-668, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fertility; non altruistic model; count data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior

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