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Ambiguity sensitive preferences in Ellsberg frameworks

Author

Listed:
  • Claudia Ravanelli

    (University of Zurich)

  • Gregor Svindland

    (LMU Munich)

Abstract

We study the market implications of ambiguity sensitive preferences using the $$\alpha $$ α -maxmin expected utility ( $$\alpha $$ α -MEU) model. In the standard Ellsberg framework, we prove that $$\alpha $$ α -MEU preferences are equivalent to either maxmin, maxmax or subjective expected utility (SEU). We show how ambiguity aversion impacts equilibrium asset prices, and revisit the laboratory experimental findings in Bossaerts et al. (Rev Financ Stud 23:1325–1359, 2010). Only when there are three or more ambiguous states, $$\alpha $$ α -MEU, maxmin, maxmax and SEU models induce different portfolio choices. We suggest criteria to discriminate among these models in laboratory experiments and show that ambiguity seeking agents may prevent the existence of market equilibrium. Our results indicate that ambiguity matters for portfolio choice and does not wash out in equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudia Ravanelli & Gregor Svindland, 2019. "Ambiguity sensitive preferences in Ellsberg frameworks," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 67(1), pages 53-89, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:67:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00199-017-1095-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s00199-017-1095-3
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ellsberg framework; $$alpha $$ α -maxmin expected utility model; Ambiguity aversion; Portfolio choice; Market equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets

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