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Positivistic models of long-run labor allocation dynamics

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  • Denis Stijepic

    (Fernuniversität in Hagen)

Abstract

The three-sector framework (relating to agriculture, manufacturing, and services) is one of the major concepts for studying the long-run dynamics of the economic structure. We summarize the empirical/theoretical literature consensus by formulating ‘economic laws’ of long-run structural change in the three-sector framework. Based on these laws, we derive the (qualitative/geometrical) properties of the dynamic system describing the structural change and apply the standard concepts/theorems of dynamic systems analysis (e.g., omega limit sets) to derive the implications of these laws for the future (transitional and limit) structural dynamics in developed and developing countries. The advantage of this system theoretical approach is that it minimizes the dependence of the predictions on theoretical/ideological arguments, which are often criticized in economics.

Suggested Citation

  • Denis Stijepic, 2017. "Positivistic models of long-run labor allocation dynamics," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 6(1), pages 1-30, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecstr:v:6:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1186_s40008-017-0078-7
    DOI: 10.1186/s40008-017-0078-7
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    1. Piyabha Kongsamut & Sergio Rebelo & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(4), pages 869-882.
    2. Silva, Ester G. & Teixeira, Aurora A.C., 2008. "Surveying structural change: Seminal contributions and a bibliometric account," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 273-300, December.
    3. Uy, Timothy & Yi, Kei-Mu & Zhang, Jing, 2013. "Structural change in an open economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 667-682.
    4. Timo Boppart, 2014. "Structural Change and the Kaldor Facts in a Growth Model With Relative Price Effects and Non‐Gorman Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2167-2196, November.
    5. L. Rachel Ngai & Christopher A. Pissarides, 2007. "Structural Change in a Multisector Model of Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(1), pages 429-443, March.
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    7. Daron Acemoglu & Veronica Guerrieri, 2008. "Capital Deepening and Nonbalanced Economic Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 116(3), pages 467-498, June.
    8. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "A topological approach to structural change analysis and an application to long-run labor allocation dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 453-462.
    9. Milgrom, Paul & Roberts, John, 1994. "Comparing Equilibria," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(3), pages 441-459, June.
    10. Stijepic, Denis, 2015. "A geometrical approach to structural change modelling," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 71-85.
    11. Foellmi, Reto & Zweimüller, Josef, 2008. "Structural change, Engel's consumption cycles and Kaldor's facts of economic growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 1317-1328, October.
    12. Herrendorf, Berthold & Rogerson, Richard & Valentinyi, Ákos, 2014. "Growth and Structural Transformation," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 6, pages 855-941, Elsevier.
    13. Mr. Sergio Rebelo & Ms. Piyabha Kongsamut & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," IMF Working Papers 2001/085, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Piyabha Kongsamut & Sergio Rebelo & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(4), pages 869-882.
    15. Jonathan Temple, 2003. "The Long‐Run implications of Growth Theories," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 497-510, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "On development paths minimizing the aggregate labor-reallocation costs in the three-sector framework and an application to structural policy," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203519, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "On development paths minimizing the structural change costs in the three-sector framework and an application to structural policy," MPRA Paper 77023, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Feb 2017.
    3. Damir Stijepic, 2019. "The impact of the productivity dispersion across employers on the labor's income share," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 73-83.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural change; Labor; Re-allocation; Sectors; Agriculture; Manufacturing; Services; Long run; Dynamics; Trajectory; Geometry; Simplex; Dynamic systems;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C65 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology

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