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Using scenarios to understand the frontiers of IS

Author

Listed:
  • Paul Gray

    (Korea University Business School)

  • Anat Hovav

    (Korea University Business School)

Abstract

As we arrive at the millenium, the literature is filled with predictions and forecasts of the state of affairs in the 21st century. Most of these forecasts are single point prognoses. This paper uses scenario-building ideas to describe a richer set of possible states of Information Systems in the year 2010. The scenarios are integrative and consider a set of possible events and their impacts. Two major driving forces: (1) telecommunications development and (2) social acceptance of information systems (IS) are assumed to define the scenario space. Based on these driving forces, four scenarios are created: Utopian, Dystopian, Status Quo, and Technology. The Utopian (ubiquitous telecommunications, high social acceptance of IS) and Dystopian (limited gains in telecommunications, low social acceptance of IS) scenarios are described in detail. The scenarios provide a basis for assessing the frontiers of information systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Gray & Anat Hovav, 2014. "Using scenarios to understand the frontiers of IS," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 337-345, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:infosf:v:16:y:2014:i:3:d:10.1007_s10796-014-9514-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10796-014-9514-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul M. Gangi & Allen C. Johnston & James L. Worrell & Samuel C. Thompson, 0. "What could possibly go wrong? A multi-panel Delphi study of organizational social media risk," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-20.
    2. Paul M. Gangi & Allen C. Johnston & James L. Worrell & Samuel C. Thompson, 2018. "What could possibly go wrong? A multi-panel Delphi study of organizational social media risk," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 20(5), pages 1097-1116, October.
    3. João Barata & Paulo Rupino Cunha & António Dias Figueiredo, 2023. "Self-reporting Limitations in Information Systems Design Science Research," Business & Information Systems Engineering: The International Journal of WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK, Springer;Gesellschaft für Informatik e.V. (GI), vol. 65(2), pages 143-160, April.

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    Keywords

    Alternative IS futures; Scenario space;

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