IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/eurpop/v15y1999i2d10.1023_a1006224902376.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Demographic Model of Measles Epidemics

Author

Listed:
  • S.R. Duncan

    (Department of Engineering Science)

  • Susan Scott

    (University of Liverpool)

  • C.J. Duncan*:

    (University of Liverpool)

Abstract

Liverpool, U.K., 1863--1900, has been used as a model to explore the interaction between measles epidemics and the population dynamics in an overcrowded community with inadequate nutrition using a non-linear model which allows the estimation of certain underlying demographic parameters. The results are consistent with a system that is driven by an oscillation in the transmission parameter that is compounded of an oscillation in autumn temperatures (at the resonant frequency of the system, 2.4 years) and, secondarily, by an oscillation in wheat prices (wavelength = 5.3 years, twice that of the epidemics).

Suggested Citation

  • S.R. Duncan & Susan Scott & C.J. Duncan*:, 1999. "A Demographic Model of Measles Epidemics," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 15(2), pages 185-198, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:15:y:1999:i:2:d:10.1023_a:1006224902376
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1006224902376
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1023/A:1006224902376
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1023/A:1006224902376?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. Duncan & Susan Scott & C. Duncan, 1993. "The dynamics of smallpox epidemics in Britain, 1550–1800," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 30(3), pages 405-423, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kimberly M. Thompson, 2016. "Evolution and Use of Dynamic Transmission Models for Measles and Rubella Risk and Policy Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(7), pages 1383-1403, July.
    2. Romola J. Davenport, 2021. "Nineteenth‐century mortality trends: a reply to Szreter and Mooney," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 74(4), pages 1096-1110, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sawchuk, Larry A. & Tripp, Lianne & Samakaroon, Mahinda, 2022. "Assessing a syndemic: Gibraltar in the time of cholera," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:15:y:1999:i:2:d:10.1023_a:1006224902376. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.