IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v27y2025i1d10.1007_s10668-023-03934-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predictive sustainability assessment based on provincial 5-year development plans in China

Author

Listed:
  • Weiwei Li

    (Northeastern University
    Northeastern University)

  • Danning Zhang

    (Liaoning University)

  • Wenfeng Hui

    (Northeastern University)

Abstract

Sustainability is an important concern for many countries. Some plans are usually made in advance to guide the sustainable development. Sustainability assessment based on development plans can provide pre-judgment about the sustainability prospect of the evaluated objects. The paper predictively assessed the sustainability of the provincial-level regions in China according to the 14th 5-Year Development Plan. Firstly, the indicator system was constructed based on the indicators given in the development plans. Then, the assessment methods were developed by considering the historical performances and the target values given in development plans simultaneously. A development-oriented sequential relationship analysis weighting method was proposed, which is conducive to the smooth advancement of sustainability construction. The validity of the proposed methods was illustrated by comparison with the mean method. The assessment results show that the sustainability and coordination level of all the provincial-level regions will be improved in 2025. The sustainability performances are most affected by society, followed by economy and environment. It is found that “Number of high-value invention patents per 10,000 population,” “Per capita disposable income increased,” and “Reduction of energy consumption per unit GDP” are the key factors for sustainable development. Based on the findings, valuable suggestions were provided as references.

Suggested Citation

  • Weiwei Li & Danning Zhang & Wenfeng Hui, 2025. "Predictive sustainability assessment based on provincial 5-year development plans in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1597-1617, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:27:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03934-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03934-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-023-03934-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-023-03934-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:27:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03934-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.