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Exploring the effects of population growth on future land use change in the Las Vegas Wash watershed: an integrated approach of geospatial modeling and analytics

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  • Yu Sun
  • Susanna Tong
  • Mao Fang
  • Y. Yang

Abstract

The Las Vegas Valley metropolitan area is one of the fastest growing areas in the southwestern United States. The rapid urbanization has presented many environmental challenges. For instance, as population growth and urbanization continue, the supply of sufficient clean water will become a concern. In addition, the area is also experiencing the longest drought in history, and the volume of water storage in Lake Mead, the main fresh water supply for the entire region, has been reduced greatly. The water quality in the main stem of the Las Vegas Wash (LVW) and Lake Mead may also be significantly affected. In order to develop effective sustainable management plans, the very first step is to predict the plausible future urbanization and land use patterns. This paper presents an approach to predict the future land use pattern at the LVW watershed using a Markov cellular automata model. The multi-criteria evaluation was used to couple population density as a variable depicting the driving force of urbanization in the model. Moreover, landscape metrics were used to analyze land use changes in order to better understand the dynamics of urban development in the LVW watershed. The predicted future land use maps for the years 2030 and 2050 show substantial urban development in the area, much of which are located in areas sensitive to source water protections. The results of the analysis provide valuable information for local planners and policy makers, assisting their efforts in constructing alternative sustainable urban development schemes and environmental management strategies. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Sun & Susanna Tong & Mao Fang & Y. Yang, 2013. "Exploring the effects of population growth on future land use change in the Las Vegas Wash watershed: an integrated approach of geospatial modeling and analytics," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 15(6), pages 1495-1515, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:15:y:2013:i:6:p:1495-1515
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-013-9447-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dionysis Latinopoulos & Zoi Konstantinou & Yannis Krestenitis, 2012. "Simulation and multicriteria analysis in sustainable coastal planning: the case of aquaculture in Thermaikos Gulf, Greece," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 14(6), pages 1027-1045, December.
    2. Guan, DongJie & Li, HaiFeng & Inohae, Takuro & Su, Weici & Nagaie, Tadashi & Hokao, Kazunori, 2011. "Modeling urban land use change by the integration of cellular automaton and Markov model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(20), pages 3761-3772.
    3. Tofael Ahamed & M. Khan & Tomohiro Takigawa & Masayuki Koike & Farhat Tasnim & J. Zaman, 2009. "Resource management for sustainable development: a community- and GIS-based approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 11(5), pages 933-954, October.
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    1. Thinh An Nguyen & Phuong Minh Thi Le & Tam Minh Pham & Huong Thi Thu Hoang & Minh Quang Nguyen & Hoa Quynh Ta & Hanh Thi My Phung & Ha Thi Thu Le & Luc Hens, 2019. "Toward a sustainable city of tomorrow: a hybrid Markov–Cellular Automata modeling for urban landscape evolution in the Hanoi city (Vietnam) during 1990–2030," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 429-446, February.
    2. Nguyen Trung Nam & Pham Thi Bich Thuc & Do Anh Dao & Nguyen Duc Thien & Nguyen Hai Au & Dung Duc Tran, 2023. "Assessing Climate-Driven Salinity Intrusion through Water Accounting: A Case Study in Ben Tre Province for More Sustainable Water Management Plans," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-19, June.

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