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Research on the effectiveness of the volatility–tail risk-managed portfolios in China’s market

Author

Listed:
  • Zirui Guo

    (Shandong University)

  • Yihan Li

    (Shandong University)

  • Guangyan Jia

    (Shandong University)

Abstract

This paper attempts to extend the approach of quantitative investment and provide investors with suggestions about volatility timing. Based on the volatility-managed portfolios strategy, we propose two volatility–tail risk-managed portfolios strategies by combining the volatility and tail risk forecasting methods. We subject seven indices in China’s stock market to verify the performance of these two strategies. The empirical results show that volatility–tail risk-managed portfolios yield better performance than buy-and-hold portfolios and volatility-managed portfolios in terms of annualized average returns, Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown and Calmer ratio. Furthermore, we find that the effectiveness also depends on the volatility clustering of portfolios and the selection of investment periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Zirui Guo & Yihan Li & Guangyan Jia, 2024. "Research on the effectiveness of the volatility–tail risk-managed portfolios in China’s market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 1191-1222, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:66:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s00181-023-02493-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-023-02493-9
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    Keywords

    Volatility timing; Quantitative investment; Volatility-managed portfolios strategy; Volatility–tail risk-managed portfolios; Volatility forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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