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Migration Systems in Europe: Evidence From Harmonized Flow Data

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  • Jack DeWaard
  • Keuntae Kim
  • James Raymer

Abstract

Empirical tests of migration systems theory require consistent and complete data on international migration flows. Publicly available data, however, represent an inconsistent and incomplete set of measurements obtained from a variety of national data collection systems. We overcome these obstacles by standardizing the available migration reports of sending and receiving countries in the European Union and Norway each year from 2003–2007 and by estimating the remaining missing flows. The resulting harmonized estimates are then used to test migration systems theory. First, locating thresholds in the size of flows over time, we identify three migration systems within the European Union and Norway. Second, examining the key determinants of flows with respect to the predictions of migration systems theory, our results highlight the importance of shared experiences of nation-state formation, geography, and accession status in the European Union. Our findings lend support to migration systems theory and demonstrate that knowledge of migration systems may improve the accuracy of migration forecasts toward managing the impacts of migration as a source of social change in Europe. Copyright Population Association of America 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Jack DeWaard & Keuntae Kim & James Raymer, 2012. "Migration Systems in Europe: Evidence From Harmonized Flow Data," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 49(4), pages 1307-1333, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:demogr:v:49:y:2012:i:4:p:1307-1333
    DOI: 10.1007/s13524-012-0117-9
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    2. Katherine Curtis & Elizabeth Fussell & Jack DeWaard, 2015. "Recovery Migration After Hurricanes Katrina and Rita: Spatial Concentration and Intensification in the Migration System," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 52(4), pages 1269-1293, August.
    3. Fenwick, Clare, 2022. "The devil is in the detail: measuring intra-EU labour migration," ROA Research Memorandum 001, Maastricht University, Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market (ROA).
    4. Koji Murayama & Jun Nagayasu, 2021. "Toward Coexistence of Immigrants and Local People in Japan: Implications from Spatial Assimilation Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, March.
    5. Fenwick, Clare, 2022. "The devil is in the detail: measuring intra-EU labour migration," Research Memorandum 003, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    6. Willekens Frans, 2019. "Evidence-Based Monitoring of International Migration Flows in Europe," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 35(1), pages 231-277, March.
    7. Ron Boschma & Simona Iammarino & Raffaele Paci & Jordy Suriñach & Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2017. "A Gravity Model of Migration Between the ENC and the EU," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 108(1), pages 21-35, February.
    8. Mathew E. Hauer & Steven R. Holloway & Takashi Oda, 2020. "Evacuees and Migrants Exhibit Different Migration Systems After the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(4), pages 1437-1457, August.
    9. Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, 2017. "Combining Labour Force Survey data to estimate migration flows: the case of migration from Poland to the UK," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(1), pages 185-202, January.
    10. Wiśniowski Arkadiusz & Bijak Jakub & Christiansen Solveig & Forster Jonathan J. & Keilman Nico & Raymer James & Smith Peter W.F., 2013. "Utilising Expert Opinion to Improve the Measurement of International Migration in Europe," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 29(4), pages 583-607, December.

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