IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v178y2025i4d10.1007_s10584-025-03905-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate-induced changes in agricultural land use: parcel-level evidence from California’s Central Valley

Author

Listed:
  • Siddharth Kishore

    (UC Riverside)

  • Mehdi Nemati

    (UC Riverside)

  • Ariel Dinar

    (UC Riverside)

  • Cory L. Struthers

    (University of Washington)

  • Scott MacKenzie

    (University of California)

  • Matthew S. Shugart

    (University of California)

Abstract

How growers adjust land-use decisions to a changing climate has important consequences for food supplies and environmental impact. In this paper, we examine changes in agricultural land use as an adaptive response to long-term climate impacts, using unique parcel-level data in Central Valley, California – a major agricultural hub worldwide. We combine parcel-specific acreage decisions and climate normal to assess the climate-induced land use transition. We find that growers in the Central Valley are transitioning from annual crops to perennial crops in response to changing climates. Summer degree days and total precipitation increased the share of perennial crops, and projected declines in winter chill hours are also expected to increase the share of perennial crops in the Central Valley. Analysis of land-use with heterogeneous land quality suggests that the share of perennial crops increased 11% in high-quality lands and 7% in low quality lands.

Suggested Citation

  • Siddharth Kishore & Mehdi Nemati & Ariel Dinar & Cory L. Struthers & Scott MacKenzie & Matthew S. Shugart, 2025. "Climate-induced changes in agricultural land use: parcel-level evidence from California’s Central Valley," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(4), pages 1-18, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-025-03905-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-025-03905-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-025-03905-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-025-03905-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-025-03905-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.