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COVID-19 led to a decline in climate and environmental concern: evidence from UK panel data

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  • Liam F. Beiser-McGrath

    (London School of Economics and Political Science)

Abstract

A key question in understanding barriers to climate and environmental policy is whether changing economic conditions weaken individuals’ support for climate and environmental action. The large body of literature examining this question, however, has come to contradictory results, with studies measuring changes within individuals typically finding no such effect (e.g. Mildenberger and Leiserowitz, Env Polit 26(5):801–824 2017). In this letter, I use the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic to provide a stringent test of how economic shocks affect concern for climate change and the environment. Using panel data from the UK, that was collected just before (November 2019) and just after (June 2020) the outbreak of COVID-19, I find that the pandemic caused individuals to significantly deprioritise climate change and the environment in absolute terms, and the environment relative to the economy. These effects significantly vary depending upon individuals’ employment trajectories, concerns about the cost of living, and ideological preferences, but do not significantly vary by individuals’ prior vote choice. The findings suggest that in times of severe economic distress, unlike smaller economic downturns, climate change and the environment is deprioritised. This has implications for our understanding of the political feasibility of climate and environmental action, when individuals are faced with harsh economic conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Liam F. Beiser-McGrath, 2022. "COVID-19 led to a decline in climate and environmental concern: evidence from UK panel data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 174(3), pages 1-11, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:174:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-022-03449-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03449-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Matthew E. Kahn & Matthew J. Kotchen, 2011. "Business Cycle Effects On Concern About Climate Change: The Chilling Effect Of Recession," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(03), pages 257-273.
    2. Robert Brulle & Jason Carmichael & J. Jenkins, 2012. "Shifting public opinion on climate change: an empirical assessment of factors influencing concern over climate change in the U.S., 2002–2010," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 114(2), pages 169-188, September.
    3. Don Fullerton, 2011. "Six Distributional Effects of Environmental Policy," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(6), pages 923-929, June.
    4. Kachi, Aya & Bernauer, Thomas & Gampfer, Robert, 2015. "Climate policy in hard times: Are the pessimists right?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 227-241.
    5. Robert Y. Shum, 2012. "Effects of economic recession and local weather on climate change attitudes," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 38-49, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Cotofan & Karlygash Kuralbayeva & Konstantinos Matakos, 2024. "Global warming cools voters down: How climate concerns affect policy preferences," CEP Discussion Papers dp1991, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    2. Beiser-McGrath, Liam & Busemeyer, Marius R., 2023. "Carbon inequality and support for carbon taxation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120925, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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