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When climate change predictions are right for the wrong reasons

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  • Wally Broecker

    (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University)

Abstract

Just over 40 years ago, I wrote a paper entitled “Climate change: Are we on the brink of a pronounced global warming?” In it, I attempted to explain why despite a rise in the atmosphere’s CO2 content there had been no significant warming. I predicted that a natural cooling was about to give way to a warming, and that industrial emissions of CO2 would amplify this warming. The paper published in Science in 1975. Warming did follow in 1976–1977. However, a retrospective look shows that my analysis was flawed. What is more—and to my chagrin—based on the words “global warming” in my Science paper, I was given the title “Father of Global Warming.” Not only did I not like this title, I had done little to merit it.

Suggested Citation

  • Wally Broecker, 2017. "When climate change predictions are right for the wrong reasons," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 1-6, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:142:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-017-1927-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1927-y
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