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Landslides and synoptic weather trends in the European Alps

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Listed:
  • J. L. Wood

    (University of Exeter)

  • S. Harrison

    (University of Exeter)

  • T. A. R. Turkington

    (University of Twente)

  • L. Reinhardt

    (University of Exeter)

Abstract

Landslides present a substantial geomorphological hazard in Alpine regions and there are expectations that climate change will alter their frequency and magnitude in the future. Understanding the spatial distribution and timing of landslides in the context of past change is therefore necessary if we are to assess their future behaviour. Using a regional landslide inventory for the European Alps we analyse the influence of weather types, specifically the COST733 database, on landslides. Monte Carlo permutation tests are used to assess which weather types are most likely associated with landslides. Weather types with high precipitation are consistent with more landslides, although there are also seasonal differences. Over the duration of the COST733 catalogue there has been a significant decrease in the number of days with weather types associated with low frequencies of landslides. During the spring and autumn months, the trend in observed landslide frequency and weather types are well matched. However while there is potential for weather typing to be used as a proxy for future landslide frequency, other external factors must be carefully considered.

Suggested Citation

  • J. L. Wood & S. Harrison & T. A. R. Turkington & L. Reinhardt, 2016. "Landslides and synoptic weather trends in the European Alps," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 297-308, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:136:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s10584-016-1623-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1623-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. F. Dramis & M. Govi & M. Guglielmin & G. Mortara, 1995. "Mountain permafrost and slope instability in the Italian Alps: The Val Pola Landslide," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(1), pages 73-81, January.
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