IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v237y2016i1d10.1007_s10479-014-1702-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal allocation of a fixed production under price uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Inmaculada Rodríguez-Puerta

    (University of Pablo de Olavide)

  • Alberto A. Álvarez-López

    (UNED)

Abstract

In this paper, we consider a model of production allocation in the context of the theory of the firm under uncertainty. This is the case of a firm that has just produced a known amount of an output and can allocate it to two possible ends: one with a certain price, the other with an uncertain price. We first establish conditions to determine whether the firm will make use of both ends or of only one of them. In particular, we find a limit value for the certain price (which we call the frontier price) below which the firm decides to allocate the total amount of production to the uncertain end. We then study comparative-static effects on the optimal output allocated to each end, and also on the frontier price. Finally, we analyze an application concerning the middleman who buys the firm’s output in the certain end. This is a pricing problem: namely obtaining the price in the certain end that the middleman must offer to the producer in order to attain a desired amount of output. In two specific cases, we also provide closed-form expressions for the optimal allocation to both ends and for the frontier price.

Suggested Citation

  • Inmaculada Rodríguez-Puerta & Alberto A. Álvarez-López, 2016. "Optimal allocation of a fixed production under price uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 237(1), pages 121-142, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:237:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-014-1702-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-014-1702-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-014-1702-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-014-1702-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Atanu Saha & C. Richard Shumway & Hovav Talpaz, 1994. "Joint Estimation of Risk Preference Structure and Technology Using Expo-Power Utility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(2), pages 173-184.
    2. Subal C. Kumbhakar & Ragnar Tveterås, 2003. "Risk Preferences, Production Risk and Firm Heterogeneity," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 105(2), pages 275-293, June.
    3. Buccola, Steven T., 1982. "Portfolio Selection Under Exponential And Quadratic Utility," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, July.
    4. Ardeshir J. Dalal & Sudhakar S. Raju, 2003. "Domestic and Foreign Sales When Prices in Both Markets are Uncertain," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 125-148, April.
    5. Lippman, Steven A & McCall, John J, 1981. "Competitive Production and Increases in Risk," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(1), pages 207-211, March.
    6. Sandmo, Agnar, 1971. "On the Theory of the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 65-73, March.
    7. Ardeshir J. Dalal & Eliakim Katz, 2003. "The multi-market firm, transportation costs, and the separation of the output and allocation decisions," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 55(4), pages 644-656, October.
    8. D Wu & D L Olson, 2010. "Enterprise risk management: coping with model risk in a large bank," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(2), pages 179-190, February.
    9. Subal C. Kumbhakar, 2002. "Specification and Estimation of Production Risk, Risk Preferences and Technical Efficiency," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(1), pages 8-22.
    10. Andrés J. Picazo‐Tadeo & Alan Wall, 2011. "Production risk, risk aversion and the determination of risk attitudes among Spanish rice producers," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 42(4), pages 451-464, July.
    11. Dalal, Ardeshir J. & Alghalith, Moawia, 2009. "Production decisions under joint price and production uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 84-92, August.
    12. Moawia Alghalith, 2006. "Price and output risk: empirical analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 391-393.
    13. Katz, E & Paroush, J & Kahana, N, 1982. "Price Uncertainty and the Price Discriminating Firm in International Trade," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 23(2), pages 389-400, June.
    14. Alghalith, Moawia, 2010. "Preferences estimation without approximation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 1144-1146, December.
    15. Blome, Constantin & Schoenherr, Tobias, 2011. "Supply chain risk management in financial crises--A multiple case-study approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 43-57, November.
    16. Wu, Desheng Dash & Olson, David L. & Birge, John R., 2011. "Introduction to special issue on "Enterprise risk management in operations"," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 1-2, November.
    17. Thomas B. Wiens, 1976. "Peasant Risk Aversion and Allocative Behavior: A Quadratic Programming Experiment," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 58(4_Part_1), pages 629-635.
    18. Kee H. Chung, 1990. "Output Decision Under Demand Uncertainty with Stochastic Production Function: A Contingent Claims Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(11), pages 1311-1328, November.
    19. Hey, John D, 1981. "Hedging and the Competitive Labor-Managed Firm under Price Uncertainty [Hedging and the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty]," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(4), pages 753-757, September.
    20. Holthausen, Duncan M, 1979. "Hedging and the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(5), pages 989-995, December.
    21. Moawia Alghalith, 2006. "Hedging decisions with price and output uncertainty," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 225-227, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Inmaculada Rodríguez-Puerta & Alberto Álvarez-López, 2016. "Optimal allocation of a fixed production under price uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 237(1), pages 121-142, February.
    2. Liu, Yucan & Shumway, C. Richard, 2005. "Indirect Utility Maximization under Risk: A Heterogeneous Panel Application," 2005 Annual Meeting, July 6-8, 2005, San Francisco, California 36307, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    3. Alghalith, Moawia, 2008. "Recent applications of theory of the firm under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 443-450, April.
    4. Muhamad Zahid Muhamad & Mad Nasir Shamsudin & Nitty Hirawaty Kamarulzaman & Nolila Mohd Nawi & Jamaliah Laham, 2022. "Investigating Yield Variability and Technical Efficiency of Smallholders Pineapple Production in Johor," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-18, November.
    5. William T. Smith, 2022. "The optimal hedge ratio: A solution, a conjecture, and a challenge," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(2), pages 877-888.
    6. Eldor, Rafael & Zilcha, Itzhak, 1987. "Discriminating Monopoly, Forward Markets and International Trade," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 28(2), pages 459-468, June.
    7. Wu, Feng & Guan, Zhengfei, 2014. "Efficient Estimation of Risk Attitude with Seminonparametric Risk Modeling," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170625, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Eldor, Rafael & Zilcha, Itzhak, 1990. "Oligopoly, uncertain demand, and forward markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 17-26, February.
    9. Broll, Udo & Egozcue, Martín & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zitikis, Ričardas, 2010. "Prospect theory and hedging risks," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 05/10, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
    10. William T. Smith, 2023. "The optimal hedge ratio: A closed-form solution, a conjecture, and a challenge," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 748-758.
    11. Dalal, Ardeshir J. & Alghalith, Moawia, 2009. "Production decisions under joint price and production uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 84-92, August.
    12. Peterson, Jeffrey M. & Boisvert, Richard N., 1998. "Optimal Voluntary "Green" Payment Programs To Limit Nitrate Contamination Under Price and Yield Risk," Research Bulletins 122687, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    13. Subal Kumbhakar & Efthymios Tsionas, 2010. "Estimation of production risk and risk preference function: a nonparametric approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 369-378, April.
    14. Qicai Li & Mengdi Gu & Zhibing Liang, 2014. "Optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance and investment polices under the CEV model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 223(1), pages 273-290, December.
    15. Ricome, Aymeric & Chaib, Karim & Ridier, Aude & Kephaliacos, Charilaos & Carpy-Goulard, Francoise, 2012. "The role of cash crop marketing contracts in the adoption of low-input practices in the presence of risk and income supports," 126th Seminar, June 27-29, 2012, Capri, Italy 126222, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Park, Timothy A. & Antonovitz, Frances, 1991. "Econometric Tests Of Firm Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Optimal Output And Hedging Decisions," 1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas 271264, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Wong, Kin-Ming & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2016. "Does monetary policy matter for trade?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 107-125.
    18. Martina Bozzola & Robert Finger, 2021. "Stability of risk attitude, agricultural policies and production shocks: evidence from Italy," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 48(3), pages 477-501.
    19. Röthig, Andreas, 2008. "The Impact of Backwardation on Hedgers' Demand for Currency Futures Contracts: Theory versus Empirical Evidence," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 35698, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    20. Z. Bar‐Shira & R.E. Just & D. Zilberman, 1997. "Estimation of farmers' risk attitude: an econometric approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(2-3), pages 211-222, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:237:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-014-1702-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.