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Türkiye’de Mala Karşı Suçların Sosyoekonomik Belirleyicileri Üzerine Bir Deneme: Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı (1970–2007)

Author

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  • Hayati AKSU
  • Yakup AKKUŞ

Abstract

In this article, the effects of the socio-economic factors on the property crimes in Turkey between 1970 and 2007 are analyzed. The econometric model employed for the analysis utilizes inflation rate, unemployment rate and real per capita income as economic variables and the schooling ratio of secondary education as a social variable. The crime model is estimated for Turkey by using Bounds Testing Approach unlike the preceding studies for the first time. The results designate a long term relation (cointegration) between socio-economic factors and property crimes. Short term and long term estimates are in line with each other. It is also found that property crimes in Turkey are affected positively by inflation, unemployment and schooling ratio of secondary education and negatively affected by real per capita income. The most important factor that affects the property crimes is found out as real per capita income in short term as well as long term. Hence, it is concluded that the policies implemented to increase the real per capita income (economic growth) are expected to decrease the property crimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Hayati AKSU & Yakup AKKUŞ, 2010. "Türkiye’de Mala Karşı Suçların Sosyoekonomik Belirleyicileri Üzerine Bir Deneme: Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı (1970–2007)," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 2010-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:sos:sosjrn:100110
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    Keywords

    Economics of Crime; Property Crimes; Cointegration; Bounds Testing Approach.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • I29 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Other
    • K00 - Law and Economics - - General - - - General (including Data Sources and Description)
    • K14 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Criminal Law
    • K19 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Other

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