IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/smx/journl/073683.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimacion de la Ley de Okun para Mexico al nivel estatal y por tamano de localidad

Author

Listed:
  • Diego Andres Cardoso Lopez

    (El Colegio de la Frontera Norte)

  • Jesus Antonio Lopez Cabrera

    (Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), Mexico)

Abstract

Este articulo estima la Ley de Okun (1962) para Mexico al nivel estatal y por tamanos de localidades. Se utiliza un modelo de Panel de Vectores Autorregresivos (PVAR) para determinar los efectos de corto plazo, mientras que las funciones de Impulso-Respuesta y el Panel de Cointegracion se utilizan para determinar los efectos de largo plazo para el periodo que va de 2005 a 2022. Los resultados verifican la existencia de la Ley de Okun para todos los estados, y para el tamano de localidad mayor a 100 mil habitantes. Los rezagos de la tasa de crecimiento del capital humano tienen un efecto positivo en la tasa de crecimiento del desempleo, y los rezagos temporales de la tasa de desempleo tienen una incidencia negativa sobre la misma. Ademas, las innovaciones de estas variables presentan un comportamiento ciclico sobre el desempleo. Para el caso del analisis de largo plazo existe evidencia de una relacion de largo plazo entre las variables estacionarias y una relacion negativa.

Suggested Citation

  • Diego Andres Cardoso Lopez & Jesus Antonio Lopez Cabrera, 2023. "Estimacion de la Ley de Okun para Mexico al nivel estatal y por tamano de localidad," Sobre México. Revista de Economía, Sobre México. Temas en economía, vol. 1(7), pages 36-83.
    • Handle: RePEc:smx:journl:07:36:83
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sobremexico-revista.ibero.mx/index.php/Revista_Sobre_Mexico/article/view/128
    File Function: First version, 2023
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:smx:journl:07:36:83. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Maria Alejandra Villegas Gutierrez (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://sobremexico-revista.ibero.mx/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.