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Do Institutional Factors Matter for the Speed of Disinflation?

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  • Andreas M. Fischer

Abstract

A central issue for macroeconomic policy is the optimal speed of disinflation. The cold turkey view states that a credible disinflation is less costly if it is quick. An alternative view is that gradualism is less costly because of frictions in wage and price setting. Institutional factors, such as central bank independence or labor market structure, are argued to be important in influencing expectations or wage responsiveness. The paper examines whether various institutional factors explain the disinflation path taken by 21 OECD countries. The cross country analysis finds that institutional factors have no influence on the speed of disinflation; most important is the level of inflation before the disinflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Andreas M. Fischer, 1997. "Do Institutional Factors Matter for the Speed of Disinflation?," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 133(III), pages 539-556, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ses:arsjes:1997-iii-13
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    Cited by:

    1. Giamattei, Marcus, 2015. "Cold Turkey vs. Gradualism - Evidence on Disinflation Strategies from a Laboratory Experiment," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe V-67-15, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    2. William D. Lastrapes & W. Douglas McMillin, 2004. "Cross-Country Variation in the Liquidity Effect: The Role of Financial Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 114(498), pages 890-915, October.
    3. Marcus Giamattei, 2022. "Can Cold Turkey Reduce Inflation Inertia? Evidence on Disinflation and Level‐k Thinking from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2477-2517, December.
    4. Franz R. Hahn & Peter Mooslechner, 1999. "Zur Fundierung des Designs des Europäischen Zentralbanksystems," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 72(1), pages 49-60, January.

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