IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v23y2017i3p669-679.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling and forecasting alpine skier visits

Author

Listed:
  • Iveta Malasevska

    (Lillehammer University College, Norway)

  • Erik Haugom

    (Lillehammer University College, Norway)

  • Gudbrand Lien

    (Lillehammer University College, Norway)

Abstract

This study is the first to examine formally what drives variations in skier attendance at Norwegian ski resorts. The authors use a unique data set of the number of daily visitors at a specific ski resort from 2007/2008 to 2013/2014. The main findings suggest that weather conditions, day of the week and holidays significantly affect the number of daily visitors. The time series regression analysis highlights the demand pattern and specific non-linear relationships between visitors and wind chill temperature. The study finds that, if the wind chill temperature is below −9.5°C, a temperature increase has a positive effect on the number of daily visitors. Similarly, if the wind chill temperature is above −9.5°C, a higher temperature leads to a lower number of skier visits, on average. Tourism providers can use these results for decision-making, planning and managing ski resort operations. In addition, the findings could serve as an incentive to implement innovative pricing tactics.

Suggested Citation

  • Iveta Malasevska & Erik Haugom & Gudbrand Lien, 2017. "Modelling and forecasting alpine skier visits," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(3), pages 669-679, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:23:y:2017:i:3:p:669-679
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2015.0524
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5367/te.2015.0524
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5367/te.2015.0524?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Camille Gonseth, 2013. "Impact of snow variability on the Swiss winter tourism sector: implications in an era of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 307-320, July.
    2. White, Halbert, 1982. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 1-25, January.
    3. Martin Falk, 2015. "The Demand for Winter Sports: Empirical Evidence for the Largest French Ski-Lift Operator," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(3), pages 561-580, June.
    4. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1979. "A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1287-1294, September.
    5. Morey, Edward R., 1981. "The demand for site-specific recreational activities: A characteristics approach," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 345-371, December.
    6. Falk, Martin, 2010. "A dynamic panel data analysis of snow depth and winter tourism," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 912-924.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Martínez Salgueiro & Maria-Antonia Tarrazon-Rodon, 2021. "Weather derivatives to mitigate meteorological risks in tourism management: An empirical application to celebrations of Comunidad Valenciana (Spain)," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 591-613, June.
    2. Martin Falk & Robert Steiger, 2020. "Size facilitates profitable ski lift operations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1197-1211, November.
    3. Martin Falk & Xiang Lin, 2018. "The declining dependence of ski lift operators on natural snow conditions," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(6), pages 662-676, September.
    4. Marius Mayer & O. Cenk Demiroglu & Oguzhan Ozcelebi, 2018. "Microclimatic Volatility and Elasticity of Glacier Skiing Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-14, October.
    5. Troxler, Pascal, 2022. "Weather Forecasts and their Relation to Ski Demand," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264121, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aurélie Corne & Olga Goncalves & Nicolas Peypoch, 2020. "Evaluating the performance drivers of French ski resorts: A hierarchical approach," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 389-405, April.
    2. Marius Mayer & O. Cenk Demiroglu & Oguzhan Ozcelebi, 2018. "Microclimatic Volatility and Elasticity of Glacier Skiing Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-14, October.
    3. Jeffrey Englin & Klaus Moeltner, 2004. "The Value of Snowfall to Skiers and Boarders," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 29(1), pages 123-136, September.
    4. Joachim Zietz, 2006. "Detecting neglected parameter heterogeneity with Chow tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 369-374.
    5. Ulrich Gunter & Irem Önder, 2018. "Determinants of Airbnb demand in Vienna and their implications for the traditional accommodation industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(3), pages 270-293, May.
    6. Wolak, Frank A., 1996. "Can universal service survive in a competitive telecommunications environment? Evidence from the United States consumer expenditure survey," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 163-203, September.
    7. Falk, Martin & Hagsten, Eva, 2016. "Importance of early snowfall for Swedish ski resorts: Evidence based on monthly data," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 61-73.
    8. Weiying Cai & Hui Di & Xingpeng Liu, 2019. "Estimation of the Spatial Suitability of Winter Tourism Destinations Based on Copula Functions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-18, January.
    9. Jin Seo Cho & Meng Huang & Halbert White, 2021. "Testing a Constant Mean Function Using Functional Regression," Working papers 2021rwp-190, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    10. Jin Seo Cho & Meng Huang & Halbert White, 2009. "Testing for a Constant Mean Function using Functional Regression," Discussion Paper Series 0915, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    11. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 1990. "A Unified Approach to Robust, Regression-Based Specification Tests," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 17-43, March.
    12. Jan Ondrich & J. David Richardson & Shuo Zhang, 2006. "A further investigation of the link between trade and income," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 19-36.
    13. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2019. "Parametric Inference on the Mean of Functional Data Applied to Lifetime Income Curves," Working papers 2019rwp-153, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    14. Francisco Cribari-Neto, 1996. "On the Corrections to Information Matrix Tests," Econometrics 9601001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Darryl Holden, 2011. "Testing for heteroskedasticity in the tobit and probit models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 735-744, November.
    16. Dokken, Therere, 2013. "Land tenure in Tigray: How large is the gender bias?," CLTS Working Papers 5/13, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Centre for Land Tenure Studies, revised 10 Oct 2019.
    17. Aris Spanos, 2018. "Mis†Specification Testing In Retrospect," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 541-577, April.
    18. Allan D. Brunner, 1997. "On The Dynamic Properties Of Asymmetric Models Of Real GNP," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(2), pages 321-352, May.
    19. Mur, Jesús & Trivez, F. Javier, 2000. "Scale Elements In Spatial Autocorrelation Tests," ERSA conference papers ersa00p97, European Regional Science Association.
    20. Whang, Yoon-Jae & Andrews, Donald W. K., 1993. "Tests of specification for parametric and semiparametric models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1-3), pages 277-318.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:23:y:2017:i:3:p:669-679. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.