IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/risrel/v222y2008i3p303-313.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Consideration of human actions in combination with the probabilistic dynamics method Monte Carlo dynamic event tree

Author

Listed:
  • M Kloos
  • J Peschke

Abstract

The various accident sequences to be considered in the framework of a probabilistic safety analysis (PSA) for a nuclear power plant derive from interactions between the physical process, technical system functions, operator performance and stochastic influences along the time axis. Probabilistic dynamics methods have been developed to adequately account for these interactions. They can potentially cover the spectrum of event sequences which may actually evolve and achieve a realistic probabilistic safety assessment. The probabilistic dynamics method MCDET is a combination of Monte Carlo simulation and the discrete dynamic event tree (DDET) method. It was implemented as a module which can operate in tandem with any deterministic code simulating the system and process dynamics. MCDET was supplemented by a so-called Crew-Module which permits to simulate the dynamics of human actions depending on but also acting on the system and process dynamics as modelled in the deterministic code and on stochastic influences as modelled in MCDET. This paper presents the Crew-Module and gives an overview of the results which may be obtained from its combination with MCDET and a deterministic dynamics code.

Suggested Citation

  • M Kloos & J Peschke, 2008. "Consideration of human actions in combination with the probabilistic dynamics method Monte Carlo dynamic event tree," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 222(3), pages 303-313, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:222:y:2008:i:3:p:303-313
    DOI: 10.1243/1748006XJRR125
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1243/1748006XJRR125
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1243/1748006XJRR125?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N., 2012. "Conventional and dynamic safety analysis: Comparison on a chemical batch reactor," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 146-159.
    2. Sakurahara, Tatsuya & Mohaghegh, Zahra & Reihani, Seyed & Kee, Ernie & Brandyberry, Mark & Rodgers, Shawn, 2018. "An integrated methodology for spatio-temporal incorporation of underlying failure mechanisms into fire probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 242-257.
    3. Rebollo, M.J. & Queral, C. & Jimenez, G. & Gomez-Magan, J. & Meléndez, E. & Sanchez-Perea, M., 2016. "Evaluation of the offsite dose contribution to the global risk in a Steam Generator Tube Rupture scenario," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 32-48.
    4. Podofillini, L. & Zio, E. & Mercurio, D. & Dang, V.N., 2010. "Dynamic safety assessment: Scenario identification via a possibilistic clustering approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(5), pages 534-549.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:222:y:2008:i:3:p:303-313. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.