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Grant Impact on Local Fiscal Behavior: Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Estimates

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  • James R. Follain JR

    (Federal Home Loan Bank, San Francisco)

Abstract

A wide variety of econometric studies have been conducted to determine Abstract whether conditional grants have a different effect upon local fiscal behavior than unconditional grants and to determine if unconditional grants reduce tax effort. Unfortunately, the studies have not finally resolved these questions. In this paper, a system of expenditure and tax equations are precisely derived from the Geary-Stone utility function. The system of equations is estimated simultaneously using a Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Estimator and the validity restrictions implied by the Geary-Stone utility function. The results indicate that conditional grants do not generally have a different impact upon local expenditures than unconditional grants and that unconditional grants do not seriously dampen local tax effort. Further, the results indicate that the Geary-Stone model is plausible.

Suggested Citation

  • James R. Follain JR, 1979. "Grant Impact on Local Fiscal Behavior: Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Estimates," Public Finance Review, , vol. 7(4), pages 479-500, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:pubfin:v:7:y:1979:i:4:p:479-500
    DOI: 10.1177/109114217900700404
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wegge, Leon L F, 1969. "A Family of Functional Iterations and the Solution of Maximum Likelihood Estimating Equations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(1), pages 122-130, January.
    2. David L. Smith, 1968. "The Response Of State And Local Governments To Federal Grant‐In‐Aid Payments," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(3), pages 553-554, June.
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